Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thor/KA W vs Stjarnan W

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women Thorsvollur, Akureyri
Thor/KA W Logo

Thor/KA W

2 - 2
FT
Stjarnan W Logo

Stjarnan W

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Palsdottir A.
35'
Sub
Valdimarsdottir J. In: Jorundsdottir S.
Out: Valdimarsdottir J.
37'
Wirtz E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild Women game between Thor/KA W and Stjarnan W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Thor/KA W
15%
Draws
26%
Stjarnan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thor/KA W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Stjarnan W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Thor/KA W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Stjarnan W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Thor/KA W Clean Sheet 20%
Stjarnan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thor/KA W Stjarnan W
Matches Played 36 37
Wins 17 18
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 2.11 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Thor/KA W
3:2
May 15, 2026 Icelandic Cup Women
Thor/KA W vs Stjarnan W
1:4
May 6, 2026 Besta deild Women
Thor/KA W vs Stjarnan W
2:2
Feb 7, 2026 League Cup Women
Stjarnan W vs Thor/KA W
5:3
Sep 6, 2025 Besta deild Women
Stjarnan W vs Thor/KA W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thor/KA W Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnadottir A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arnadottir M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Stjarnan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Palsdottir A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thor/KA W 42 / 100
Stjarnan W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thor/KA W Stjarnan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thor/KA W scored in 86% of their last 36 games.

These sides typically produce 5.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Stjarnan W conceded in 65% of 37 recent games.

Thor/KA W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thor/KA W VS Stjarnan W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thor/KA W

(Home)
19 Sept
Valur W
0 : 1
Thor/KA W
06 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
2 : 1
Thor/KA W
29 Aug
Throttur W
0 : 0
Thor/KA W
21 Aug
Thor/KA W
0 : 1
Valur W
14 Aug
Vikingur Reykjavik W
0 : 3
Thor/KA W
Page 1 of 8

Stjarnan W

(Away)
18 Sept
Hafnarfjordur W
1 : 0
Stjarnan W
07 Sept
Stjarnan W
1 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik W
29 Aug
Fram W
3 : 2
Stjarnan W
20 Aug
Stjarnan W
2 : 0
Breidablik W
13 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
3 : 2
Stjarnan W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 18 12 1 5 46:21 37
2 Hafnarfjordur W 18 11 4 3 56:32 37
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 18 8 3 7 31:34 27
4 Stjarnan W 18 7 5 6 31:27 26
5 Throttur W 18 6 5 7 24:27 23
6 Grindavik/Njardvik W 18 6 4 8 25:33 22
7 Fram W 18 7 1 10 28:43 22
8 Valur W 18 5 5 8 22:31 20
9 Vikingur Reykjavik W 18 6 2 10 27:38 20
10 Thor/KA W 18 5 4 9 24:28 19
Promotion - Besta deild Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild Women (Relegation Group)