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Thrakis vs Kavala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Thrakis Logo

Thrakis

Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Kavala Logo

Kavala

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Thrakis host Kavala in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Thrakis at 1.8 goals for, 1.1 against; Kavala at 1.16 for, 1.32 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Kavala. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Thrakis
25%
Draws
35%
Kavala
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Thrakis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kavala lately — more wins on the board than Thrakis.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Thrakis taking it.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Thrakis Clean Sheet 20%
Kavala Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thrakis Kavala
Matches Played 10 31
Wins 5 10
Draws 3 10
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 1.8 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thrakis 36 / 100
Kavala 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thrakis Kavala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kavala let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Difficult form: Kavala registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thrakis VS Kavala
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Thrakis

(Home)

Kavala

(Away)
26 Apr
Kavala
2 : 2
Chrisoupolis
22 Apr
Kavala
5 : 1
Makedonikos Neapolis
18 Apr
Giannina
3 : 1
Kavala
08 Apr
Kampaniakos
2 : 0
Kavala
05 Apr
Kavala
2 : 1
PAOK B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xanthi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Kavala 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Doxa Dramas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Eleftheroupolis 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Apollon Paralimniou 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Sidirochori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Aetos Ofryniou 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 MAS Ardas Kastanion 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Pontion Nea Amisos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Thrakis 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (Losers stage)