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Threave Rovers vs Dalbeattie Star

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League 2014/2015 game between Threave Rovers and Dalbeattie Star finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dalbeattie Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Threave Rovers
15%
Draws
0%
Dalbeattie Star
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Threave Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Dalbeattie Star haven't matched Threave Rovers's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Threave Rovers's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dalbeattie Star have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Threave Rovers Clean Sheet 15%
Dalbeattie Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Threave Rovers Dalbeattie Star
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 2
Draws 1 5
Losses 25 25
Goals Scored 1.37 1.06
Goals Conceded 3.47 3.94
Expected Goals (xG) 3.05 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2016 Lowland League
Threave Rovers vs Dalbeattie Star
3:4
Oct 10, 2015 Lowland League
Dalbeattie Star vs Threave Rovers
7:1
Jan 3, 2015 Lowland League
Threave Rovers vs Dalbeattie Star
1:3
Sep 6, 2014 Lowland League
Dalbeattie Star vs Threave Rovers
0:0
May 26, 2014 Lowland League
Threave Rovers vs Dalbeattie Star
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Threave Rovers 84 / 100
Dalbeattie Star 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Threave Rovers Dalbeattie Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Threave Rovers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dalbeattie Star has conceded goals in 97% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Dalbeattie Star registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Threave Rovers scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Threave Rovers VS Dalbeattie Star
2.6 Goals Scored 0.5
2.6 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Threave Rovers

(Home)
03 Oct
Threave Rovers
3 : 2
Invergordon
27 Sept
Johnstone Burgh
4 : 0
Threave Rovers
25 Oct
Threave Rovers
2 : 3
Stranraer
28 Sept
Threave Rovers
6 : 1
Vale Of Leithen
23 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2
Threave Rovers
Page 1 of 6

Dalbeattie Star

(Away)
03 Oct
Strathspey Thistle
3 : 2
Dalbeattie Star
26 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 5
Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1
Dalbeattie Star
15 Sept
Celtic B
2 : 0
Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 6
Cumnock Juniors
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Edinburgh City 26 22 3 1 65:14 69
2 East Kilbride 26 15 5 6 63:25 50
3 Gretna 2008 26 13 6 7 62:32 45
4 Dalbeattie Star 26 11 9 6 51:39 42
5 Spartans 26 11 9 6 45:34 42
6 Stirling University 26 12 6 8 46:38 42
7 Whitehill Welfare 26 11 7 8 57:38 40
8 Gala Fairydean Rovers 26 9 7 10 48:54 34
9 Vale Of Leithen 26 9 6 11 39:53 33
10 Broomhill 26 7 9 10 39:52 30
11 Edinburgh University 26 8 4 14 40:52 28
12 Selkirk 26 6 5 15 53:74 23
13 Preston Athletic 26 3 5 18 31:75 14
14 Threave Rovers 26 2 5 19 21:80 11
Promotion - League Two 2014/2015 (Relegation)