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Threave Rovers vs Gretna 2008 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Lowland League 2014/2015 game between Threave Rovers and Gretna 2008 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gretna 2008.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Threave Rovers
15%
Draws
51%
Gretna 2008
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gretna 2008

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gretna 2008 come out ahead of Threave Rovers on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gretna 2008 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Lowland League 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Threave Rovers Clean Sheet 15%
Gretna 2008 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Threave Rovers Gretna 2008
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 10
Draws 1 5
Losses 25 17
Goals Scored 1.37 1.66
Goals Conceded 3.47 2.56
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2016 Lowland League
Threave Rovers vs Gretna 2008
1:2
Sep 9, 2015 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Threave Rovers
3:0
Dec 6, 2014 Lowland League
Threave Rovers vs Gretna 2008
1:2
Oct 25, 2014 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Threave Rovers
2:3
Feb 8, 2014 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Threave Rovers
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Threave Rovers 15 / 100
Gretna 2008 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Threave Rovers Gretna 2008

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gretna 2008 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gretna 2008 let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Threave Rovers's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Threave Rovers has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Threave Rovers VS Gretna 2008
3 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Threave Rovers

(Home)
03 Oct
Threave Rovers
3 : 2
Invergordon
27 Sept
Johnstone Burgh
4 : 0
Threave Rovers
25 Oct
Threave Rovers
2 : 3
Stranraer
28 Sept
Threave Rovers
6 : 1
Vale Of Leithen
23 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2
Threave Rovers
Page 1 of 6

Gretna 2008

(Away)
03 Oct
Nairn County
0 : 1
Gretna 2008
26 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 5
Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Gretna 2008
3 : 1
Celtic B
15 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
12 Sept
Gretna 2008
2 : 3
Pollok
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Edinburgh City 26 22 3 1 65:14 69
2 East Kilbride 26 15 5 6 63:25 50
3 Gretna 2008 26 13 6 7 62:32 45
4 Dalbeattie Star 26 11 9 6 51:39 42
5 Spartans 26 11 9 6 45:34 42
6 Stirling University 26 12 6 8 46:38 42
7 Whitehill Welfare 26 11 7 8 57:38 40
8 Gala Fairydean Rovers 26 9 7 10 48:54 34
9 Vale Of Leithen 26 9 6 11 39:53 33
10 Broomhill 26 7 9 10 39:52 30
11 Edinburgh University 26 8 4 14 40:52 28
12 Selkirk 26 6 5 15 53:74 23
13 Preston Athletic 26 3 5 18 31:75 14
14 Threave Rovers 26 2 5 19 21:80 11
Promotion - League Two 2014/2015 (Relegation)