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Threave Rovers vs Invergordon Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Scottish Cup. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Threave Rovers have averaged 1.31 scored and 3.52 conceded recently, against Invergordon's 1.29 scored and 3.36 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.96 xG vs 1.88) point toward Invergordon. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Threave Rovers
15%
Draws
42%
Invergordon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Threave Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Invergordon have managed 1.29 goals a game lately — Threave Rovers are scoring more at 1.31.
  • Model gives Threave Rovers a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Threave Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
Invergordon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Threave Rovers Invergordon
Matches Played 29 14
Wins 3 3
Draws 1 1
Losses 25 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.29
Goals Conceded 3.52 3.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Threave Rovers 83 / 100
Invergordon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Threave Rovers Invergordon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Threave Rovers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Invergordon conceded in 86% of 14 recent games.

Threave Rovers's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Away concern: Invergordon has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Threave Rovers has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Threave Rovers VS Invergordon
1.67 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
83% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 75%
83% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Threave Rovers

(Home)
27 Sept
Johnstone Burgh
4 : 0
Threave Rovers
25 Oct
Threave Rovers
2 : 3
Stranraer
28 Sept
Threave Rovers
6 : 1
Vale Of Leithen
23 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2
Threave Rovers
23 Sept
Glenafton
4 : 0
Threave Rovers
Page 1 of 6

Invergordon

(Away)
26 Sept
Huntly
7 : 0
Invergordon
19 Sept
Invergordon
3 : 1
Turriff United
16 Sept
Brora Rangers
7 : 2
Invergordon
05 Sept
Invergordon
0 : 2
Strathspey Thistle
29 Aug
Banks O' Dee
6 : 3
Invergordon
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Beith -
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Boness United -
Irvine Meadow -
Bonnyton Thistle -
East Stirlingshire -
Brechin -
Buckie Thistle -
Caledonian Braves -
Fraserburgh -
Civil Service Strollers -
Formartine Utd -
Clachnacuddin -
Bonnyrigg Rose -
Cowdenbeath -
Berwick -
Cumnock Juniors -
Auchinleck Talbot -
Deveronvale -
Troon FC -
Dunipace -
Preston Athletic -
Forres Mechanics -
Stirling University -
Gala Fairydean Rovers -
Largs Thistle -
Haddington Athletic -
Cumbernauld Colts -
Hill Of Beath -
Glasgow University -
Keith -
Stonehaven -
Kirkintilloch Rob Roy -
Banks O' Dee -
Linlithgow Rose -
Clydebank FC -
Lochee United -
Inverurie Loco Works -
Musselburgh -
Lossiemouth -
Nairn County -
Gretna 2008 -
Newton Stewart -
Johnstone Burgh -
Penicuik -
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Pollok -
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Renfrew -
Broxburn Athletic -
Rothes -
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