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Threave Rovers vs Stranraer - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Cairnie D.
Assist: Downie L.
54' Event
Irving R.
Assist: Officer H.
64' Event
Edgar R.
Assist: Lang D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Stranraer advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Threave Rovers
15%
Draws
53%
Stranraer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stranraer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stranraer come out ahead of Threave Rovers on wins alone.
  • Stranraer are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Stranraer arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Stranraer, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Threave Rovers Clean Sheet 16%
Stranraer Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Threave Rovers Stranraer
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 12
Draws 1 6
Losses 25 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.69
Goals Conceded 3.47 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2024 Scottish Cup
Threave Rovers vs Stranraer
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Threave Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Cairnie D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Irving R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Stranraer Compare

Top Goalscorer Edgar R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lang D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Threave Rovers 15 / 100
Stranraer 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Threave Rovers Stranraer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stranraer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Threave Rovers found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Stranraer conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Threave Rovers has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Threave Rovers VS Stranraer
3 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Threave Rovers

(Home)
03 Oct
Threave Rovers
3 : 2
Invergordon
27 Sept
Johnstone Burgh
4 : 0
Threave Rovers
25 Oct
Threave Rovers
2 : 3
Stranraer
28 Sept
Threave Rovers
6 : 1
Vale Of Leithen
23 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2
Threave Rovers
Page 1 of 6

Stranraer

(Away)
03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3
East Kilbride
22 Sept
Berwick
3 : 2
Stranraer
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5
Stranraer
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1
Dumbarton
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Arbroath -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Spartans -
TBD -
Cowdenbeath 3
Rutherglen 2
Brechin 1
Newtongrange Star 0
Huntly 3
Wick Academy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Dundee FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Dumbarton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alloa -
Dundonald Bluebell 1
Inverurie Loco Works 2
Dundee North End 4
Tranent FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airdrieonians -
Elgin City -
TBD -
TBD -
Clyde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kelty Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberdeen -
Forres Mechanics 1
Jeanfield Swifts 2
TBD -
Edinburgh City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunfermline -
Burntisland Shipyard 1
Irvine Meadow 4
Cumbernauld Colts 0
Civil Service Strollers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stenhousemuir -
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fraserburgh 8
Rothes 0
Broomhill 0
Turriff United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annan -
Queen's Park -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partick -
Peterhead -
TBD -
East Stirlingshire 2
Lochee United 3
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TBD -
TBD -
Montrose -
Ross County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brora Rangers 2
Cumnock Juniors 1
Formartine Utd 2
Whitehill Welfare 0
Cove Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inverness -
Forfar Athletic -
TBD -
Berwick 4
Cupar Hearts 2
Stirling -
TBD -
Dunbar United 1
Boness Athletic 4
St Johnstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Motherwell -
East Fife -
TBD -
Gala Fairydean Rovers 0
Banks O' Dee 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamilton -
Musselburgh 1
Darvel FC 0
Stirling University 0
Caledonian Braves 2
Tynecastle 2
Hill Of Beath 3
Deveronvale 2
Boness United 4
Celtic -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Kilmarnock -
East Kilbride 2
Gretna 2008 0
TBD -
Bonnyrigg Rose -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Falkirk -
Linlithgow Rose 3
Lossiemouth 1
Clachnacuddin 3
Nairn County 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
Threave Rovers 6
Vale Of Leithen 1
TBD -
Stranraer -
Albion Rovers 1
Auchinleck Talbot 2
Dalkeith Thistle FC 0
Broxburn Athletic 4
Ayr -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Morton -
Hibernian -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Keith 2
Camelon Juniors 1
Clydebank FC 3
Girvan 1
Strathspey Thistle 0
Sauchie 6
Buckie Thistle 2
Carluke Rovers FC 1
1/64-finals
Arbroath -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Spartans 1
Cowdenbeath 2
Brechin 3
Huntly 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Dundee FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Dumbarton -
TBD -
TBD -
Alloa -
Inverurie Loco Works 1
Dundee North End 3
TBD -
Airdrieonians -
Elgin City 2
Clyde 1
TBD -
Kelty Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberdeen -
Jeanfield Swifts 1
Edinburgh City 2
TBD -
Dunfermline -
Irvine Meadow 3
Civil Service Strollers 0
TBD -
Stenhousemuir -
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fraserburgh 3
Turriff United 1
TBD -
Annan -
Queen's Park -
TBD -
TBD -
Partick -
Peterhead 6
Lochee United 3
TBD -
Montrose -
Ross County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Livingston -
TBD -
Brora Rangers 2
Formartine Utd 1
Cove Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Inverness -
Forfar Athletic 1
Berwick 0
Stirling 6
Boness Athletic 0
St Johnstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Motherwell -
East Fife 0
Banks O' Dee 1
TBD -
Hamilton -
Musselburgh 2
Caledonian Braves 1
Hill Of Beath 0
Boness United 2
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kilmarnock -
East Kilbride 3
Bonnyrigg Rose 1
TBD -
Falkirk -
Linlithgow Rose 3
Clachnacuddin 0
TBD -
Raith -
Threave Rovers 2
Stranraer 3
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Broxburn Athletic 1
Ayr -
TBD -
TBD -
Morton -
Hibernian -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keith 0
Clydebank FC 3
Sauchie 0
Buckie Thistle 2
1/32-finals
Arbroath 0
Queen of the South 1
TBD -
St. Mirren -
Cowdenbeath 1
Brechin 4
TBD -
Hearts -
Dundee FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Dumbarton 3
Alloa 2
Dundee North End 0
Airdrieonians 1
Elgin City 3
Kelty Hearts 2
TBD -
Aberdeen -
Edinburgh City 1
Dunfermline 2
Irvine Meadow 0
Stenhousemuir 5
Rangers -
TBD -
Fraserburgh 2
Annan 0
Queen's Park 3
Partick 2
Peterhead 2
Montrose 3
Ross County -
TBD -
Livingston 2
Brora Rangers 0
Cove Rangers 2
Inverness 0
Forfar Athletic 4
Stirling 3
St Johnstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Motherwell -
Banks O' Dee 1
Hamilton 2
Musselburgh 3
Boness United 1
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Kilmarnock -
East Kilbride 1
Falkirk 3
Linlithgow Rose 0
Raith 4
Stranraer 1
Broxburn Athletic 2
Ayr 2
Morton 0
Hibernian -
TBD -
Clydebank FC 2
Buckie Thistle 0
1/16-finals
Queen of the South 1
St. Mirren 3
Brechin 1
Hearts 4
Dundee FC 1
Dundee Utd 0
Dumbarton 1
Airdrieonians 5
Elgin City 0
Aberdeen 3
Dunfermline 3
Stenhousemuir 0
Rangers 5
Fraserburgh 0
Queen's Park 3
Montrose 2
Ross County 2
Livingston 3
Cove Rangers 2
Forfar Athletic 0
St Johnstone 1
Motherwell 0
Hamilton 3
Musselburgh 1
Celtic 2
Kilmarnock 1
Falkirk 1
Raith 2
Broxburn Athletic 0
Ayr 8
Hibernian 3
Clydebank FC 0
1/8-finals
St. Mirren 1
Hearts 2
Dundee FC 4
Airdrieonians 0
Aberdeen 3
Dunfermline 0
Rangers 0
Queen's Park 1
Livingston 3
Cove Rangers 0
St Johnstone 1
Hamilton 0
Celtic 5
Raith 0
Ayr 0
Hibernian 1
Quarter-finals
Hearts 3
Dundee FC 1
Aberdeen 4
Queen's Park 1
Livingston 0
St Johnstone 1
Celtic 2
Hibernian 0
Semi-finals
Hearts 1
Aberdeen 2
St Johnstone 0
Celtic 5
Final
Aberdeen 2
Celtic 1