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Three Bridges vs Crawley Town

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Orsi D.
44' Event
Orsi D.
81' Event
Rivera K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Three Bridges and Crawley Town finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crawley Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Three Bridges
20%
Draws
40%
Crawley Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Three Bridges's 1.3 goals per match outpaces what Crawley Town have produced (0.97).
  • Three Bridges are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Crawley Town here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Three Bridges Clean Sheet 11%
Crawley Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Three Bridges Crawley Town
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 3 9
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.3 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Three Bridges vs Crawley Town
0:5
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Three Bridges vs Crawley Town
1:2
Jul 16, 2021 Club Friendly
Three Bridges vs Crawley Town
0:1
Jul 12, 2016 Club Friendly
Three Bridges vs Crawley Town
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Three Bridges Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivera K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Crawley Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Orsi D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Three Bridges 40 / 100
Crawley Town 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Three Bridges Crawley Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Three Bridges found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Crawley Town let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Crawley Town lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Three Bridges VS Crawley Town
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Three Bridges

(Home)
15 Sept
Whitehawk
3 : 2
Three Bridges
12 Sept
St. Albans
4 : 0
Three Bridges
04 Sept
Three Bridges
0 : 1
Kingstonian
31 Aug
Three Bridges
3 : 2
Carshalton
29 Aug
Dulwich Hamlet
2 : 2
Three Bridges
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Crawley Town

(Away)
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3
Cheltenham
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2
Crawley Town
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1
Crawley Town
29 Aug
Crawley Town
0 : 2
Bristol Rovers
22 Aug
Rochdale
1 : 2
Crawley Town
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