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Three Kings vs Birkenhead

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Birkenhead advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Three Kings
15%
Draws
51%
Birkenhead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Birkenhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Birkenhead carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Birkenhead arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Birkenhead, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Three Kings Clean Sheet 11%
Birkenhead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Three Kings Birkenhead
Matches Played 6 40
Wins 2 22
Draws 0 3
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2 2.2
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2017 Chatham Cup
Three Kings vs Birkenhead
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Three Kings 30 / 100
Birkenhead 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Three Kings Birkenhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Three Kings scored in 83% of their last 6 outings.

Birkenhead has conceded goals in 83% of their last 40 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Three Kings stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Birkenhead
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Three Kings

(Home)
15 Jul
Three Kings
1 : 2
Birkenhead
28 Aug
Waitakere City
6 : 1
Three Kings
06 Aug
Three Kings
6 : 1
North Wellington
16 Jul
Te Atatu FC
1 : 2
Three Kings
12 Jul
Central United
2 : 0
Three Kings
Page 1 of 2

Birkenhead

(Away)
07 Dec
Birkenhead
3 : 1
Western Springs
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3
Birkenhead
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4
Miramar
15 Nov
Auckland United
3 : 2
Birkenhead
09 Nov
Birkenhead
3 : 0
Christchurch
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Central United 4
North Shore 0
Wairarapa United 2
Miramar 1
Stop Out SC 1
Western Suburbs 5
Western Springs 2
Bay Olympic 3
Queenstown Rovers 1
Nelson Suburbs FC 6
Cashmere Technical 2
Caversham 0
Three Kings 1
Birkenhead 2
Onehunga 1
Melville 0
Quarter-finals
Central United 2
Wairarapa United 0
Western Suburbs 1
Bay Olympic 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 0
Cashmere Technical 3
Birkenhead 0
Onehunga 3
Semi-finals
Central United 5
Bay Olympic 0
Cashmere Technical 0
Onehunga 3
Final
Central United 3
Onehunga 4