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Three Kings vs North Wellington - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Three Kings in this Chatham Cup 2016 tie, finishing 6-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Three Kings
15%
Draws
39%
North Wellington
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Three Kings

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Three Kings lately — more wins on the board than North Wellington.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Three Kings taking it.
  • Three Kings have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Three Kings, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 87%
Three Kings Clean Sheet 10%
North Wellington Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Three Kings North Wellington
Matches Played 6 3
Wins 2 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 2 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.5 4
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2016 Chatham Cup
Three Kings vs North Wellington
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Three Kings 56 / 100
North Wellington 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Three Kings North Wellington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Three Kings Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Three Kings scored in 83% of their last 6 games.

North Wellington let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Three Kings has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Three Kings VS North Wellington
2 Goals Scored 1.67
2.5 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
83% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Three Kings

(Home)
15 Jul
Three Kings
1 : 2
Birkenhead
28 Aug
Waitakere City
6 : 1
Three Kings
06 Aug
Three Kings
6 : 1
North Wellington
16 Jul
Te Atatu FC
1 : 2
Three Kings
12 Jul
Central United
2 : 0
Three Kings
Page 1 of 2

North Wellington

(Away)
15 Jul
North Wellington
1 : 4
Western Suburbs
06 Aug
Three Kings
6 : 1
North Wellington
17 Jul
Palmerston North Marist
2 : 3
North Wellington

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Forrest Hill 3
Bay Olympic 0
East Coast 3
Birkenhead 5
Universities of Canterbury 0
Cashmere Technical 3
Wairarapa United 2
Miramar 4
Waitakere City 3
Waitemata FC 1
Queenstown Rovers 0
Caversham 1
Te Atatu FC 1
Three Kings 2
Palmerston North Marist 2
North Wellington 3
Quarter-finals
Forrest Hill 0
Birkenhead 3
Cashmere Technical 2
Miramar 4
Waitakere City 3
Caversham 1
Three Kings 6
North Wellington 1
Semi-finals
Birkenhead 3
Miramar 1
Waitakere City 6
Three Kings 1
Final
Birkenhead 3
Waitakere City 2