Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Throttur vs Aegir

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Eimskipsvöllurinn, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Oddgeirsson B.
Assist: Ingason A.
11' Event
Ingason A.
Assist: Larusson S.
23' Event
Dabetic S.
Assist: Willard H.

AI Match Summary

Throttur in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 7-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Throttur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Throttur
15%
Draws
7%
Aegir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Throttur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Aegir haven't matched Throttur's recent run of results.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Throttur taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Throttur have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Throttur Clean Sheet 19%
Aegir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Throttur Aegir
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 19 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 6 23
Goals Scored 2.31 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Division 1
Throttur vs Aegir
7:2
Jun 21, 2026 Division 1
Aegir vs Throttur
1:3
Jul 27, 2023 Division 1
Aegir vs Throttur
2:2
May 21, 2023 Division 1
Throttur vs Aegir
3:1
Sep 17, 2022 Division 2
Throttur vs Aegir
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Throttur Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingason A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Thordarson M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Aegir Compare

Top Goalscorer Dabetic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joninuson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Throttur 85 / 100
Aegir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Throttur Aegir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Throttur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Throttur scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Aegir conceded in 88% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Throttur went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Throttur VS Aegir
2.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 4.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Throttur

(Home)
13 Sept
Throttur
2 : 1
Njardvik
09 Sept
Njardvik
0 : 1
Throttur
05 Sept
Vestri
0 : 2
Throttur
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2
Aegir
22 Aug
Kopavogur
3 : 0
Throttur
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Aegir

(Away)
05 Sept
Aegir
1 : 1
Grindavik
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2
Aegir
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1
Aegir
13 Aug
Aegir
0 : 2
Volsungur
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)