Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Throttur vs Fylkir Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Eimskipsvöllurinn, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Arnarsson B. In: Gardarsson B.
Out: Arnarsson B.
46'
Sub
Oskarsson T. In: Gunnarsson T.
Out: Oskarsson T.
65'
Sub
Hinriksson O. In: Sigurdsson V.
Out: Hinriksson O.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Throttur
15%
Draws
27%
Fylkir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Throttur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Fylkir's 2.41 goals per match outpaces what Throttur have produced (2.21).
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Throttur, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Throttur have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Throttur Clean Sheet 12%
Fylkir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Throttur Fylkir
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 19 19
Draws 4 2
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.21 2.41
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Division 1
Throttur vs Fylkir
1:0
Aug 17, 2026 Division 1
Throttur vs Fylkir
3:1
Jun 6, 2026 Division 1
Fylkir vs Throttur
1:3
Mar 5, 2026 League Cup
Throttur vs Fylkir
3:0
Jan 24, 2026 Reykjavik Cup
Throttur vs Fylkir
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Throttur Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingason A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Fylkir Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Throttur 29 / 100
Fylkir 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Throttur Fylkir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Throttur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Throttur found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Throttur stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Fylkir has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Throttur VS Fylkir
2.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Throttur

(Home)
19 Sept
Throttur
1 : 0
Fylkir
13 Sept
Throttur
2 : 1
Njardvik
09 Sept
Njardvik
0 : 1
Throttur
05 Sept
Vestri
0 : 2
Throttur
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2
Aegir
Page 1 of 6

Fylkir

(Away)
19 Sept
Throttur
1 : 0
Fylkir
13 Sept
Fylkir
2 : 2
Kopavogur
09 Sept
Kopavogur
2 : 3
Fylkir
05 Sept
Kopavogur
2 : 1
Fylkir
28 Aug
Fylkir
3 : 1
Grotta
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Throttur 3
Njardvik 1
Fylkir 5
Kopavogur 4
Final
Throttur 1
Fylkir 0