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Throttur vs Fylkir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Eimskipsvöllurinn, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Larusson S.
Assist: Ingason A.
30' Event
Ingason A.
Assist: Hinriksson O.
37'
Sub
Hilmarsson M. In: Gunnarsson N.
Out: Hilmarsson M.

AI Match Summary

Throttur in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Throttur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Throttur
15%
Draws
27%
Fylkir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Throttur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Fylkir average 2.42 goals a game right now, well clear of Throttur's 2.27.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Throttur have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Throttur Clean Sheet 12%
Fylkir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Throttur Fylkir
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 20 20
Draws 4 2
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.27 2.42
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Division 1
Throttur vs Fylkir
1:0
Aug 17, 2026 Division 1
Throttur vs Fylkir
3:1
Jun 6, 2026 Division 1
Fylkir vs Throttur
1:3
Mar 5, 2026 League Cup
Throttur vs Fylkir
3:0
Jan 24, 2026 Reykjavik Cup
Throttur vs Fylkir
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Throttur Compare

Top Goalscorer Larusson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ingason A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Fylkir Compare

Top Goalscorer Wohler E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Throttur 29 / 100
Fylkir 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Throttur Fylkir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Throttur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Throttur scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Throttur stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Fylkir conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Throttur VS Fylkir
2.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Throttur

(Home)
19 Sept
Throttur
1 : 0
Fylkir
13 Sept
Throttur
2 : 1
Njardvik
09 Sept
Njardvik
0 : 1
Throttur
05 Sept
Vestri
0 : 2
Throttur
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2
Aegir
Page 1 of 6

Fylkir

(Away)
19 Sept
Throttur
1 : 0
Fylkir
13 Sept
Fylkir
2 : 2
Kopavogur
09 Sept
Kopavogur
2 : 3
Fylkir
05 Sept
Kopavogur
2 : 1
Fylkir
28 Aug
Fylkir
3 : 1
Grotta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)