Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Throttur vs Olafsvik

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup Eimskipsvöllurinn, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Robertsson A.
55' Event
Ingason A.
59' Event
Aaras El Hmaidi N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Throttur
30%
Draws
37%
Olafsvik
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olafsvik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Throttur carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Throttur's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Throttur have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Throttur, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Throttur have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Throttur Clean Sheet 20%
Olafsvik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Throttur Olafsvik
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.21 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Throttur vs Olafsvik
3:1
Aug 17, 2022 Division 2
Olafsvik vs Throttur
3:3
Jun 9, 2022 Division 2
Throttur vs Olafsvik
3:0
Sep 5, 2021 Division 1
Throttur vs Olafsvik
5:2
Jul 1, 2021 Division 1
Olafsvik vs Throttur
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Throttur Compare

Top Goalscorer Robertsson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ingason A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Olafsvik Compare

Top Goalscorer Aaras El Hmaidi N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Throttur 40 / 100
Olafsvik 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Throttur Olafsvik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Throttur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Throttur scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 5.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Olafsvik conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Throttur remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Throttur VS Olafsvik
2 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Throttur

(Home)
13 Aug
Grindavik
2 : 1
Throttur
08 Aug
Grotta
1 : 1
Throttur
29 Jul
Throttur
4 : 1
Afturelding
23 Jul
Leiknir Reykjavik
1 : 5
Throttur
18 Jul
Throttur
1 : 0
Volsungur
Page 1 of 6

Olafsvik

(Away)
10 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 0
Selfoss
29 Jul
Olafsvik
2 : 2
Fjolnir
25 Jul
Dalvik/Reynir
0 : 1
Olafsvik
17 Jul
Hviti
0 : 2
Olafsvik
12 Jul
Kormakur/Hvot
0 : 0
Olafsvik
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
Einherji 2
Neisti 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 7
Stokkseyri 3
Arbaer 1
Hafnir 0
Aegir -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 1
Reynir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur -
TBD -
Olafsvik 3
Arborg 2
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
Kormakur/Hvot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 2
Haukar 3
KFR -
IH Hafnarfjordur -
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Ellidi 9
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Alafoss 1
Fjolnir 4
KFG Gardabaer 2
Vidir 3
Kopavogur -
TBD -
BF 108 5
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 5
KB Breidholt 0
Spyrnir -
Sindri -
TBD -
KFA -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 2
Smari 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 4
Hamar 2
Alftanes 5
Kria 2
SR Reykjavik 2
Kari 8
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Ymir 7
Falkar 0
KFS -
Thorlakur -
Tindastoll 3
Fjallabyggd 1
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Magni 3
Njardvik -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 1
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 0
Selfoss 3
IBU 1
Augnablik 12
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/32-finals
Hottur / Huginn 5
Neisti 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 3
Arbaer 5
Aegir 2
Reynir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Throttur 3
Olafsvik 1
Volsungur 2
Kormakur/Hvot 3
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 3
KFR 0
Ellidi 0
Grindavik 2
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fjolnir 2
Vidir 1
Kopavogur 4
BF 108 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir 6
KV Reykjavik 0
Sindri 0
KFA 1
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
Smari 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 1
Alftanes 5
Kari 1
IR Reykjavik 2
Afturelding 3
Ymir 10
KFS 0
Tindastoll 3
Magni 1
Njardvik 5
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Selfoss 7
Augnablik 1
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/16-finals
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 5
Arbaer 1
Aegir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 3
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Breidablik 6
Akranes 4
Haukar 0
Grindavik 2
Keflavik 1
Fjolnir 3
Kopavogur 4
Fram 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 2
KFA 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Hafnarfjordur 4
Vestri 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Grotta 1
Alftanes 0
Afturelding 6
Ymir 1
Tindastoll 0
Njardvik 1
Stjarnan 2
Selfoss 1
KR Reykjavik 4
Valur 2
1/8-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Aegir 2
Throttur 1
Breidablik 2
Akranes 3
Grindavik 2
Kopavogur 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 5
Hafnarfjordur 0
Vestri 0
Grotta 4
Afturelding 5
Njardvik 2
Stjarnan 2
KR Reykjavik 1
Quarter-finals
Aegir 0
Breidablik 3
Akranes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 4
Grotta 2
Afturelding 3
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Fylkir 1
Afturelding 2
Final
Breidablik -
Afturelding -