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Throttur Vogar vs Fjallabyggd Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2024
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Match Events

8' Event
Palsson H.
14' Event
Eyjolfsson O.
19' Event
Sigthorsson G.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2024 game between Throttur Vogar and Fjallabyggd finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Throttur Vogar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Throttur Vogar
15%
Draws
0%
Fjallabyggd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Throttur Vogar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Throttur Vogar come out ahead of Fjallabyggd on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Throttur Vogar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Throttur Vogar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Throttur Vogar Clean Sheet 16%
Fjallabyggd Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Throttur Vogar Fjallabyggd
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.66 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.56 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2024 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Fjallabyggd
5:0
Jun 29, 2024 Division 2
Fjallabyggd vs Throttur Vogar
0:5
Aug 2, 2023 Division 2
Fjallabyggd vs Throttur Vogar
3:2
May 27, 2023 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Fjallabyggd
1:0
Aug 14, 2021 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Fjallabyggd
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Throttur Vogar Compare

Top Goalscorer Palsson H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Eyjolfsson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Fjallabyggd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Throttur Vogar 84 / 100
Fjallabyggd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Throttur Vogar Fjallabyggd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Throttur Vogar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Throttur Vogar found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Fjallabyggd has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Fjallabyggd registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Throttur Vogar VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Throttur Vogar

(Home)
12 Sept
Throttur Vogar
2 : 1
Magni
05 Sept
Fjolnir
1 : 1
Throttur Vogar
28 Aug
Kari
2 : 0
Throttur Vogar
23 Aug
Throttur Vogar
1 : 3
Selfoss
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
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Fjallabyggd

(Away)
21 Mar
Tindastoll
3 : 1
Fjallabyggd
29 Mar
Fjallabyggd
3 : 5
Tindastoll
14 Sept
Fjallabyggd
2 : 3
Hottur / Huginn
08 Sept
Haukar
5 : 1
Fjallabyggd
31 Aug
Throttur Vogar
5 : 0
Fjallabyggd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Selfoss 22 16 3 3 51:27 51
2 Volsungur 22 13 4 5 50:29 43
3 Throttur Vogar 22 13 3 6 58:33 42
4 Olafsvik 22 12 6 4 50:30 42
5 KFA 22 11 2 9 52:46 35
6 Haukar 22 9 3 10 40:42 30
7 Hottur / Huginn 22 9 3 10 41:50 30
8 Aegir 22 6 7 9 29:35 25
9 KFG Gardabaer 22 6 5 11 38:43 23
10 Kormakur/Hvot 22 5 4 13 19:42 19
11 Fjallabyggd 22 5 3 14 26:50 18
12 Reynir 22 4 3 15 28:55 15
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