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Throttur Vogar vs Kari

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Adalgeirsson F.
50' Event
Asgeirsson M.
78' Event
Bjorgvinsson B.

AI Match Summary

Kari in this Division 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Throttur Vogar
30%
Draws
42%
Kari
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Throttur Vogar have won more games recently than Kari.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Throttur Vogar Clean Sheet 10%
Kari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Throttur Vogar Kari
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 2 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.66 2.54
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Kari
1:4
Jul 20, 2025 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Kari
0:1
May 3, 2025 Division 2
Kari vs Throttur Vogar
1:2
Sep 3, 2021 Division 2
Kari vs Throttur Vogar
0:5
Jun 30, 2021 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Kari
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Throttur Vogar Compare

Top Goalscorer de Lorijn D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Kari Compare

Top Goalscorer Adalgeirsson F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Asgeirsson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Throttur Vogar 30 / 100
Kari 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Throttur Vogar Kari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Throttur Vogar found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Kari's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Throttur Vogar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Throttur Vogar VS Kari
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Throttur Vogar

(Home)
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
15 Aug
Throttur Vogar
2 : 0
Dalvik/Reynir
09 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 0
Throttur Vogar
29 Jul
Throttur Vogar
3 : 1
Hviti
25 Jul
KFA
4 : 2
Throttur Vogar
Page 1 of 6

Kari

(Away)
19 Aug
Selfoss
2 : 2
Kari
15 Aug
Kari
4 : 1
Olafsvik
08 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
1 : 1
Kari
29 Jul
Kari
1 : 1
Kormakur/Hvot
24 Jul
Hviti
1 : 3
Kari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 18 13 2 3 45:23 41
2 Selfoss 18 9 6 3 42:33 33
3 Kari 18 7 9 2 47:29 30
4 Olafsvik 18 8 4 6 26:30 28
5 Fjolnir 18 7 4 7 43:40 25
6 Kormakur/Hvot 19 6 6 7 35:30 24
7 KFA 18 7 2 9 40:36 23
8 Dalvik/Reynir 18 6 4 8 26:29 22
9 Magni 18 6 4 8 31:43 22
10 Throttur Vogar 18 6 1 11 29:35 19
11 KFG Gardabaer 19 6 1 12 33:53 19
12 Hviti 18 3 7 8 21:37 16
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