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Throttur Vogar vs Kormakur/Hvot

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Belmonte P.
42' Event
Erlingsson E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Throttur Vogar and Kormakur/Hvot finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Throttur Vogar
15%
Draws
36%
Kormakur/Hvot
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Throttur Vogar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Kormakur/Hvot's 1.87 goals per match outpaces what Throttur Vogar have produced (1.43).
  • Win probability leans Throttur Vogar's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Throttur Vogar Clean Sheet 14%
Kormakur/Hvot Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Throttur Vogar Kormakur/Hvot
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Division 2
Kormakur/Hvot vs Throttur Vogar
2:0
May 31, 2026 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Kormakur/Hvot
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 Division 2
Kormakur/Hvot vs Throttur Vogar
0:2
Jun 21, 2025 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Kormakur/Hvot
2:1
Aug 25, 2024 Division 2
Kormakur/Hvot vs Throttur Vogar
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Throttur Vogar Compare

Top Goalscorer Erlingsson E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Kormakur/Hvot Compare

Top Goalscorer Belmonte P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Throttur Vogar 66 / 100
Kormakur/Hvot 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Throttur Vogar Kormakur/Hvot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Throttur Vogar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Throttur Vogar found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Kormakur/Hvot has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Kormakur/Hvot's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Throttur Vogar VS Kormakur/Hvot
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Throttur Vogar

(Home)
12 Sept
Throttur Vogar
2 : 1
Magni
05 Sept
Fjolnir
1 : 1
Throttur Vogar
28 Aug
Kari
2 : 0
Throttur Vogar
23 Aug
Throttur Vogar
1 : 3
Selfoss
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
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Kormakur/Hvot

(Away)
15 Sept
Kormakur/Hvot
1 : 2
Haukar
12 Sept
Kormakur/Hvot
1 : 2
Fjolnir
05 Sept
Hviti
3 : 4
Kormakur/Hvot
29 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 3
KFA
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0
Kormakur/Hvot
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 22 15 2 5 55:32 47
2 Selfoss 22 13 6 3 55:36 45
3 Kari 22 11 9 2 56:29 42
4 Dalvik/Reynir 22 9 4 9 37:37 31
5 Olafsvik 22 9 4 9 33:41 31
6 Fjolnir 22 8 6 8 49:46 30
7 KFA 22 9 2 11 51:45 29
8 Kormakur/Hvot 22 7 6 9 42:38 27
9 Magni 22 7 4 11 35:54 25
10 Throttur Vogar 22 7 2 13 33:42 23
11 KFG Gardabaer 22 7 1 14 38:58 22
12 Hviti 22 3 8 11 28:54 17
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