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Throttur Vogar vs Reynir

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Sanchez A.
73' Event
Marteinsson A.
85' Event
Arnarsson J.

AI Match Summary

Throttur Vogar in this Division 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Throttur Vogar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Throttur Vogar
15%
Draws
36%
Reynir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Throttur Vogar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Throttur Vogar lately — more wins on the board than Reynir.
  • Throttur Vogar are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Division 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Throttur Vogar Clean Sheet 10%
Reynir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Throttur Vogar Reynir
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.74 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2024 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Reynir
4:1
Jun 13, 2024 Division 2
Reynir vs Throttur Vogar
0:2
Aug 18, 2021 Division 2
Reynir vs Throttur Vogar
4:1
Jun 10, 2021 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Reynir
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Throttur Vogar Compare

Top Goalscorer Marteinsson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arnarsson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Reynir Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Throttur Vogar 40 / 100
Reynir 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Throttur Vogar Reynir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Throttur Vogar scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Reynir conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Reynir lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Throttur Vogar VS Reynir
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Throttur Vogar

(Home)
05 Sept
Fjolnir
1 : 1
Throttur Vogar
28 Aug
Kari
2 : 0
Throttur Vogar
23 Aug
Throttur Vogar
1 : 3
Selfoss
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
15 Aug
Throttur Vogar
2 : 0
Dalvik/Reynir
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Reynir

(Away)
04 Aug
Haukar
3 : 2
Reynir
28 Mar
Aegir
2 : 0
Reynir
21 Mar
RB Keflavik
1 : 7
Reynir
16 Jul
Olafsvik
3 : 1
Reynir
04 Apr
Reynir
0 : 5
Grindavik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Selfoss 22 16 3 3 51:27 51
2 Volsungur 22 13 4 5 50:29 43
3 Throttur Vogar 22 13 3 6 58:33 42
4 Olafsvik 22 12 6 4 50:30 42
5 KFA 22 11 2 9 52:46 35
6 Haukar 22 9 3 10 40:42 30
7 Hottur / Huginn 22 9 3 10 41:50 30
8 Aegir 22 6 7 9 29:35 25
9 KFG Gardabaer 22 6 5 11 38:43 23
10 Kormakur/Hvot 22 5 4 13 19:42 19
11 Fjallabyggd 22 5 3 14 26:50 18
12 Reynir 22 4 3 15 28:55 15
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