Sport Picks

Thun vs Lech Poznan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe

Europa League Stockhorn Arena, Thun

Thun

2 - 2

Lech Poznan

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Gumny R.

Assist: Palma L.

22'

Lengen S.

Assist: Dursun F.

26'

Sub

Hakans D. In: Walemark P.

Out: Hakans D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Thun

15%

Draws

46%

Lech Poznan

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lech Poznan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Lech Poznan lately — more wins on the board than Thun.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Lech Poznan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 63%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Thun Clean Sheet 10%

Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Thun	Lech Poznan
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	8	18
Draws	5	7
Losses	15	3
Goals Scored	1.79	2.46
Goals Conceded	2.25	1.14
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Europa League

Thun vs Lech Poznan

2:2

Aug 20, 2026 Europa League

Lech Poznan vs Thun

7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thun Compare

Top Goalscorer Lengen S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Dursun F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Lech Poznan Compare

Top Goalscorer Gumny R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Walemark P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.39

Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thun 29 / 100

Lech Poznan 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Thun Lech Poznan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thun Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Thun found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Lech Poznan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Thun remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thun VS Lech Poznan

1.5 Goals Scored 2.63

2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 88%

63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Thun

(Home)

03 Oct

Thun

2 : 0

Kriens

20 Sept

Vaduz

1 : 2

Thun

16 Sept

Thun

2 : 4

Servette

12 Sept

Thun

0 : 1

Grasshoppers

06 Sept

Sion

3 : 2

Thun

Page 1 of 6

Lech Poznan

(Away)

03 Oct

Lech Poznan

2 : 2

Energie Cottbus

20 Sept

Lech Poznan

5 : 1

Radomiak Radom

17 Sept

Crystal Palace

4 : 0

Lech Poznan

12 Sept

Gornik Zabrze

2 : 1

Lech Poznan

06 Sept

Lech Poznan

1 : 0

Rakow Czestochowa

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Twente -

TBD -

Vojvodina 1

Ferencvaros 5

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

KuPS -

TBD -

Univ. Craiova -

TBD -

Ararat-Armenia -

St. Truiden -

TBD -

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Omonia -

Crvena zvezda -

TBD -

Plzen -

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KF Egnatia -

TBD -

Lillestrom -

Jagiellonia -

TBD -

Rangers -

Larne -

TBD -

Iberia 1999 -

Mjallby -

TBD -

Hajduk Split 3

Zilina 2

TBD -

Pafos -

TBD -

Salzburg -

Kairat Almaty -

TBD -

Dynamo Kyiv 1

Universitatea Cluj 0

TBD -

PAOK -

Hammarby -

TBD -

Anderlecht -

Lech Poznan -

TBD -

Klaksvik -

Thun -

TBD -

Vikingur Reykjavik -

Tromso -

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

Besiktas -

TBD -

Midtjylland -

TBD -

FK Kauno Zalgiris -

St. Gallen -

TBD -

Benfica -

TBD -

Hearts -

TBD -

Aarhus -

OFI Crete -

TBD -

Sheriff Tiraspol 1

Aluminij 0

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Qarabag Agdam 6

Vestri 0

CSKA Sofia 5

Derry City 3

Quarter-finals

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Twente 3

Ferencvaros 4

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

KuPS -

TBD -

Univ. Craiova -

TBD -

Ararat-Armenia -

St. Truiden -

TBD -

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Omonia -

Crvena zvezda -

TBD -

Plzen -

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KF Egnatia -

TBD -

Lillestrom -

Jagiellonia -

TBD -

Rangers -

Larne -

TBD -

Iberia 1999 -

Mjallby -

TBD -

Hajduk Split 2

Pafos 4

TBD -

Salzburg -

Kairat Almaty -

TBD -

Dynamo Kyiv 2

PAOK 5

Hammarby 2

Anderlecht 4

Lech Poznan -

TBD -

Klaksvik -

Thun -

TBD -

Vikingur Reykjavik -

Tromso 1

Hradec Kralove 4

Besiktas 3

Midtjylland 0

TBD -

FK Kauno Zalgiris -

St. Gallen 2

Benfica 6

TBD -

Hearts -

TBD -

Aarhus -

OFI Crete -

TBD -

Sheriff Tiraspol 0

Maccabi Tel Aviv 6

Qarabag Agdam 0

CSKA Sofia 1

Semi-finals

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Ferencvaros 2

Gornik Zabrze 1

KuPS 2

Univ. Craiova 3

TBD -

Ararat-Armenia -

St. Truiden -

TBD -

Lincoln Red Imps 1

Omonia 2

Crvena zvezda -

TBD -

Plzen -

Shamrock Rovers 4

KF Egnatia 6

TBD -

Lillestrom -

Jagiellonia 3

Rangers 2

Larne 1

Iberia 1999 2

Mjallby -

TBD -

Pafos 3

Salzburg 4

Kairat Almaty -

TBD -

PAOK 2

Anderlecht 4

Lech Poznan 6

Klaksvik 0

Thun 5

Vikingur Reykjavik 3

Hradec Kralove 0

Besiktas 2

TBD -

FK Kauno Zalgiris -

Benfica 7

Hearts 2

TBD -

Aarhus -

OFI Crete -

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv 3

CSKA Sofia 4

Final

Trabzonspor 0

Ferencvaros 5

Univ. Craiova 1

Ararat-Armenia 2

St. Truiden 3

Omonia 4

Crvena zvezda 4

Plzen 5

KF Egnatia 1

Lillestrom 2

Jagiellonia 6

Iberia 1999 1

Mjallby 0

Salzburg 4

Kairat Almaty 0

Anderlecht 6

Lech Poznan 9

Thun 2

Besiktas 3

FK Kauno Zalgiris 1

Benfica 6

Aarhus 2

OFI Crete 5

CSKA Sofia 0

Thun vs Lech Poznan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe

Thun

Lech Poznan

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Thun Compare

Lech Poznan Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Thun

Lech Poznan

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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