Sport Picks

Europe

Europa League Stockhorn Arena, Thun

Vikingur Reykjavik

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Europa League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Thun have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Vikingur Reykjavik's 2.25 scored and 1.25 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.75) point toward Vikingur Reykjavik. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Thun

40%

Draws

29%

Vikingur Reykjavik

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Vikingur Reykjavik carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
Vikingur Reykjavik arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

Thun Clean Sheet 12%

Vikingur Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Thun	Vikingur Reykjavik
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	15	23
Draws	4	2
Losses	8	3
Goals Scored	1.75	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thun 30 / 100

Vikingur Reykjavik 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Thun Vikingur Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thun scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Thun stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Vikingur Reykjavik conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Away concern: Vikingur Reykjavik has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Thun VS Vikingur Reykjavik

1.75 Goals Scored 2.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thun

(Home)

28 Jul

Din. Zagreb

3 : 2

Thun

25 Jul

Luzern

1 : 3

Thun

21 Jul

Thun

1 : 1

Din. Zagreb

11 Jul

Thun

1 : 2

Mannheim

11 Jul

Thun

1 : 1

Elversberg

Page 1 of 6

Vikingur Reykjavik

(Away)

29 Jul

H. Beer Sheva

2 : 0

Vikingur Reykjavik

24 Jul

Vikingur Reykjavik

5 : 1

Keflavik

21 Jul

Vikingur Reykjavik

2 : 1

H. Beer Sheva

18 Jul

Thor Akureyri

2 : 1

Vikingur Reykjavik

14 Jul

Gyor

2 : 2

Vikingur Reykjavik

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Tromso -

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

Besiktas -

TBD -

Midtjylland -

Jagiellonia -

TBD -

Rangers -

Dynamo Kyiv 1

Universitatea Cluj 0

TBD -

PAOK -

Hammarby -

TBD -

Anderlecht -

Hajduk Split 3

Zilina 2

TBD -

Pafos -

TBD -

Salzburg -

St. Gallen -

TBD -

Benfica -

TBD -

Hearts -

Sheriff Tiraspol 1

Aluminij 0

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Qarabag Agdam 6

Vestri 0

CSKA Sofia 5

Derry City 3

Twente -

TBD -

Vojvodina 1

Ferencvaros 5

TBD -

Larne -

TBD -

Iberia 1999 -

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Omonia -

KuPS -

TBD -

Univ. Craiova -

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KF Egnatia -

Lech Poznan -

TBD -

Klaksvik -

Thun -

TBD -

Vikingur Reykjavik -

TBD -

Quarter-finals

Tromso 0

Hradec Kralove 1

Besiktas 1

Midtjylland 0

Jagiellonia -

TBD -

Rangers -

Dynamo Kyiv 2

PAOK 3

Hammarby 1

Anderlecht 1

Hajduk Split 2

Pafos 0

TBD -

Salzburg -

St. Gallen 2

Benfica 1

TBD -

Hearts -

Sheriff Tiraspol 0

Maccabi Tel Aviv 5

Qarabag Agdam 0

CSKA Sofia 0

Twente 1

Ferencvaros 2

TBD -

Larne -

TBD -

Iberia 1999 -

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Omonia -

KuPS -

TBD -

Univ. Craiova -

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KF Egnatia -

Lech Poznan -

TBD -

Klaksvik -

Thun -

TBD -

Vikingur Reykjavik -

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Jagiellonia -

Rangers -

TBD -

Salzburg -

TBD -

Hearts -

TBD -

Larne -

Iberia 1999 -

Lincoln Red Imps -

Omonia -

KuPS -

Univ. Craiova -

Shamrock Rovers -

KF Egnatia -

Lech Poznan -

Klaksvik -

Thun -

Vikingur Reykjavik -

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Thun vs Vikingur Reykjavik

Europe

Thun

Vikingur Reykjavik

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Thun

Vikingur Reykjavik

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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