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Thun vs Xamax

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Burki M.
6' Event
Mulaj L.
(Penalty)
8' Event
Labeau B.

AI Match Summary

Thun in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 6-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Thun
20%
Draws
30%
Xamax
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Xamax lately — more wins on the board than Thun.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Thun taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Thun here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Thun Clean Sheet 13%
Xamax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thun Xamax
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.54
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Thun vs Xamax
6:2
Sep 4, 2025 Club Friendly
Xamax vs Thun
0:2
Apr 25, 2025 Challenge League
Xamax vs Thun
0:2
Mar 28, 2025 Challenge League
Thun vs Xamax
2:1
Nov 22, 2024 Challenge League
Xamax vs Thun
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thun Compare

Top Goalscorer Burki M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Labeau B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Xamax Compare

Top Goalscorer Veya L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thun 57 / 100
Xamax 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thun Xamax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xamax's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Thun's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Thun went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thun VS Xamax
2.38 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thun

(Home)
12 Sept
Thun
0 : 1
Grasshoppers
06 Sept
Sion
3 : 2
Thun
02 Sept
Thun
0 : 0
Lausanne
30 Aug
St. Gallen
3 : 4
Thun
27 Aug
Thun
2 : 2
Lech Poznan
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Xamax

(Away)
11 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 3
Xamax
04 Sept
Winterthur
4 : 0
Xamax
01 Sept
Xamax
1 : 2
Yverdon
28 Aug
Aarau
2 : 1
Xamax
21 Aug
Xamax
1 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
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