Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thun W vs Basel W

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Women 2025/2026 Stade Municipal, Thun
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Hamidi M.
21'
Sub
Pecharman C. In: Beetschen J.
Out: Pecharman C.
34'
Jost J.

AI Match Summary

Basel W in this Super League Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Basel W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Thun W
30%
Draws
28%
Basel W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thun W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Basel W have won more games recently than Thun W.
  • Win probability leans Thun W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Basel W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 36.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Thun W Clean Sheet 17%
Basel W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thun W Basel W
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 11 16
Draws 7 8
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.36
Goals Conceded 2 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.74 1.39
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 Super League Women
Thun W vs Basel W
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 Super League Women
Basel W vs Thun W
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Super League Women
Basel W vs Thun W
5:0
Aug 24, 2024 Super League Women
Thun W vs Basel W
0:3
Mar 16, 2024 Super League Women
Thun W vs Basel W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thun W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamidi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.34
Avg xA / game 0.87

Basel W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jackson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sow C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.26
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thun W 39 / 100
Basel W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thun W Basel W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thun W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Thun W scored in 78% of their last 36 games.

Solid form: Thun W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Basel W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Thun W VS Basel W
2.6 Goals Scored 1.38
1.4 Goals Conceded 0.88
80% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 50%
60% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Thun W

(Home)
30 May
Sion W
1 : 6
Thun W
23 May
Thun W
1 : 4
Luzern W
17 May
Yverdon W
0 : 2
Thun W
09 May
Thun W
4 : 1
Sion W
02 May
Luzern W
1 : 0
Thun W
Page 1 of 8

Basel W

(Away)
19 Sept
Basel W
2 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona W
13 Sept
Zurich W
1 : 1
Basel W
09 Sept
Basel W
1 : 1
Grasshopper W
04 Sept
Basel W
1 : 0
St. Gallen W
29 Aug
Servette W
2 : 1
Basel W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Servette W 18 15 2 1 42:5 47
2 Young Boys W 18 11 3 4 32:13 36
3 Basel W 18 10 5 3 23:13 35
4 Grasshopper W 18 10 3 5 33:22 33
5 Zurich W 18 8 5 5 33:20 29
6 St. Gallen W 18 7 5 6 25:28 26
7 Rapperswil-Jona W 18 3 7 8 19:30 16
8 Aarau W 18 2 5 11 11:28 11
9 Luzern W 18 2 4 12 21:50 10
10 Thun W 18 1 3 14 17:47 6
Promotion - Super League Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Super League Women 2025/2026 (Relegation)