Sport Picks
Thunder Bay Chill vs Ann Arbor
USA
USL League Two 2023 
Match Events
8'
8'
Wynne J.
51'
51'
Gonzalez Avellaneda J. C.
56'
56'
Wynne J.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-3, with Thunder Bay Chill advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
15%
50%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ann Arbor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Thunder Bay Chill come out ahead of Ann Arbor on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Thunder Bay Chill have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Thunder Bay Chill, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Thunder Bay Chill Clean Sheet 16%
Ann Arbor Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Thunder Bay Chill | Ann Arbor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 22 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.19 | 2.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.09 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 21, 2023 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Ann Arbor
5:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Thunder Bay Chill Compare
Top Goalscorer Wynne J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Gonzalez Avellaneda J. C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Ann Arbor Compare
Top Goalscorer Hannosh R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kodjo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Thunder Bay Chill 31 / 100
Ann Arbor 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Thunder Bay Chill Ann Arbor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Thunder Bay Chill scored in 94% of their last 32 outings.
Ann Arbor let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.
Thunder Bay Chill has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Ann Arbor
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Thunder Bay Chill
(Home) 20 Jul
Peoria IL
2 : 0 Thunder Bay Chill
13 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1 Thunder Bay Chill
11 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2 Thunder Bay Chill
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
2 : 0 Rochester FC
05 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
3 : 2 Minneapolis City
Page 1 of 7
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
2 : 0 Rochester FC
05 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
3 : 2 Minneapolis City
22 Jun
Thunder Bay Chill
2 : 1 RKC SC
16 Jun
Thunder Bay Chill
2 : 2 St. Croix
14 Jun
Thunder Bay Chill
1 : 2 St. Croix
Page 1 of 3
Ann Arbor
(Away) 11 Jul
Ann Arbor
3 : 2 Kalamazoo FC
07 Jul
Union FC Macomb
2 : 2 Ann Arbor
03 Jul
Ann Arbor
3 : 1 Oakland County
27 Jun
Lansing City
2 : 5 Ann Arbor
24 Jun
Ann Arbor
2 : 1 Flint City
Page 1 of 7
07 Jul
Union FC Macomb
2 : 2 Ann Arbor
27 Jun
Lansing City
2 : 5 Ann Arbor
20 Jun
Kalamazoo FC
4 : 2 Ann Arbor
10 Jun
Flint City
4 : 1 Ann Arbor
31 May
Oakland County
4 : 1 Ann Arbor
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
North Carolina Fusion U23 2
Western Pioneers 1
Lionsbridge 1
Charlotte Eagles 0
Seacoast United Phantoms 1
Hudson Valley 2
Long Island 1
Ocean City 2
Brave SC 2
South Carolina United Bantams 1
Asheville City 4
Weston 1
Texas United 2
Nona 1
Little Rock Rangers 2
AHFC Royals 0
Chicago City 5
Cleveland Force 1
Fort Wayne 2
Flint City 3
Thunder Bay Chill 5
Ann Arbor 3
Menace 3
RKC SC 1
Park City 0
FC Olympia 4
Ballard 3
New Mexico U23 0
Redlands United FC 1
San Francisco Glens SC 2
Ventura 1
Monterey Bay 2 0
1/8-finals
North Carolina Fusion U23 1
Lionsbridge 3
Hudson Valley 1
Ocean City 2
Brave SC 1
Asheville City 0
Texas United 0
Little Rock Rangers 2
Chicago City 0
Flint City 2
Thunder Bay Chill 2
Menace 3
FC Olympia 0
Ballard 3
San Francisco Glens SC 1
Ventura 4
Quarter-finals
Lionsbridge 4
Ocean City 2
Brave SC 2
Little Rock Rangers 1
Flint City 2
Menace 0
Ballard 4
Ventura 3
Semi-finals
Lionsbridge 2
Brave SC 1
Flint City 0
Ballard 1
Final
Lionsbridge 1
Ballard 2
