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Thunder Bay Chill vs Minneapolis City

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2024 game between Thunder Bay Chill and Minneapolis City finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thunder Bay Chill.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Thunder Bay Chill
6%
Draws
90%
Minneapolis City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Minneapolis City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Minneapolis City come out ahead of Thunder Bay Chill on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Minneapolis City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Thunder Bay Chill Clean Sheet 11%
Minneapolis City Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thunder Bay Chill Minneapolis City
Matches Played 32 43
Wins 22 28
Draws 4 4
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 0 2.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 USL League Two
Minneapolis City vs Thunder Bay Chill
2:1
Jul 5, 2024 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Minneapolis City
3:2
Jun 6, 2024 USL League Two
Minneapolis City vs Thunder Bay Chill
1:0
Jul 7, 2023 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Minneapolis City
2:2
Jun 29, 2023 USL League Two
Minneapolis City vs Thunder Bay Chill
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thunder Bay Chill 10 / 100
Minneapolis City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thunder Bay Chill Minneapolis City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thunder Bay Chill scored in 94% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Minneapolis City has conceded goals in 70% of their last 43 outings.

Thunder Bay Chill has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Minneapolis City
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%