Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thyella Patras vs Pyrgos

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pyrgos in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pyrgos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Thyella Patras
15%
Draws
27%
Pyrgos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thyella Patras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pyrgos lately — more wins on the board than Thyella Patras.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Thyella Patras taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Thyella Patras Clean Sheet 68%
Pyrgos Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thyella Patras Pyrgos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 20
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.2 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.16 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Pyrgos vs Thyella Patras
2:0
Nov 30, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Thyella Patras vs Pyrgos
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thyella Patras 95 / 100
Pyrgos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thyella Patras Pyrgos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thyella Patras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Thyella Patras stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Thyella Patras found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Pyrgos registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thyella Patras VS Pyrgos
1.57 Goals Scored 2.25
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.75
86% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thyella Patras

(Home)
08 Apr
Thyella Patras
1 : 1
Loutraki FC
05 Apr
Pangytheatikos
0 : 4
Thyella Patras
01 Apr
Thyella Patras
2 : 0
Panthouriakos
28 Mar
Thyella Patras
1 : 0
Panachaiki
22 Mar
Ermis Meligous
1 : 2
Thyella Patras
Page 1 of 6

Pyrgos

(Away)
18 Aug
Atromitos
3 : 1
Pyrgos
17 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 2
Pyrgos
13 May
Ethnikos Piraeus
2 : 0
Pyrgos
10 May
Pyrgos
0 : 3
Zakynthos
03 May
Pyrgos
1 : 0
Aris Petroupolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyrgos 22 18 2 2 45:7 56
2 Zakynthos 22 16 4 2 47:11 52
3 Panegialios FC 22 15 5 2 40:15 50
4 Miltiadis 22 9 6 7 32:23 33
5 Korinthos 22 8 8 6 35:31 32
6 Pelopas Kiatou 22 9 2 11 20:32 29
7 Panthouriakos 22 7 7 8 29:25 28
8 Loutraki FC 22 8 4 10 18:18 28
9 Panachaiki 22 7 6 9 29:26 27
10 Thyella Patras 22 5 6 11 20:30 21
11 Ermis Meligous 22 2 4 16 13:40 10
12 Pangytheatikos 22 0 2 20 8:78 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 (Losers stage)