Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tidaholms vs Kumla

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Gorgol A.
58' Event
Lindstrom J.
88' Event
Torgen L.

AI Match Summary

Tidaholms host Kumla in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Kumla have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Tidaholms have conceded 4 and scored 3. Head-to-head, Tidaholms have won 0 to Kumla's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 27, 2025, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.25 vs 2.88, favoring Kumla. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Tidaholms
17%
Draws
70%
Kumla
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Kumla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Kumla has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tidaholms.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Kumla.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Tidaholms Clean Sheet 10%
Kumla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tidaholms Kumla
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 3 1.75
Goals Conceded 4 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Tidaholms vs Kumla
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Tidaholms
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tidaholms Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindstrom J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Kumla Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorgol A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torgen L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tidaholms 14 / 100
Kumla 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tidaholms Kumla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tidaholms scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Kumla let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Tidaholms went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kumla lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tidaholms VS Kumla
3 Goals Scored 1.75
4 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FBK Karlstad26164662:2952
2Motala26156558:3551
3Herrestads AIF26128651:2744
4Lidkoping26128638:2544
5Ahlafors261010641:3740
6Kongahalla26107957:4237
7Skara261041240:4834
8Grebbestad26951240:4732
9Vanersborgs IF26710944:5031
10Vanersborgs FK26871126:3731
11Tord26791032:3930
12Kumla26861234:5230
13IF Haga26651526:5423
14Tidaholms26471527:5419