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Tienen vs Hoogstraten

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Augustijnen Y.
44' Event
Soumah D.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 game between Tienen and Hoogstraten finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Tienen
30%
Draws
23%
Hoogstraten
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tienen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tienen come out ahead of Hoogstraten on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tienen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Tienen Clean Sheet 13%
Hoogstraten Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tienen Hoogstraten
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.41 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs Hoogstraten
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Hoogstraten vs Tienen
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs Hoogstraten
2:0
Sep 21, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Hoogstraten vs Tienen
0:0
Mar 24, 2024 National Division 1
Tienen vs Hoogstraten
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tienen Compare

Top Goalscorer Soumah D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Hoogstraten Compare

Top Goalscorer Augustijnen Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tienen 84 / 100
Hoogstraten 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tienen Hoogstraten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tienen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hoogstraten has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Tienen scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Hoogstraten has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tienen VS Hoogstraten
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tienen

(Home)
20 Sept
Tienen
1 : 1
SK Roeselare
13 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
0 : 4
Tienen
06 Sept
Leuven B
2 : 1
Tienen
30 Aug
Tienen
3 : 4
Dessel
23 Aug
Tienen
0 : 1
KV Mechelen 2
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Hoogstraten

(Away)
26 Sept
Hoogstraten
0 : 6
Dender
19 Sept
Mandel United
2 : 1
Hoogstraten
12 Sept
Hoogstraten
4 : 4
K. Lyra-Lierse
05 Sept
Dessel
1 : 1
Hoogstraten
28 Aug
Hoogstraten
2 : 3
Merelbeke
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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