Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tienen vs Mandel United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tienen host Mandel United in the National Division 1 - VV. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Tienen at 1.52 goals for, 1.34 against; Mandel United at 1.86 for, 0.83 against. Head-to-head, Tienen have won 3 to Mandel United's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 11, 2023, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.31, favoring Mandel United. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Tienen
30%
Draws
35%
Mandel United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Mandel United have won more games recently than Tienen.
  • Tienen are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tienen Clean Sheet 18%
Mandel United Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tienen Mandel United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 19
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.52 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 National Division 1
Mandel United vs Tienen
0:3
Oct 16, 2022 National Division 1
Tienen vs Mandel United
2:0
Feb 5, 2022 National Division 1
Mandel United vs Tienen
1:0
Dec 5, 2021 National Division 1
Tienen vs Mandel United
2:1
Feb 20, 2021 National Division 1
Mandel United vs Tienen
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tienen 41 / 100
Mandel United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tienen Mandel United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tienen went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tienen scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Mandel United conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tienen VS Mandel United
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tienen

(Home)
11 Oct
Belisia Bilzen
2 : 2
Tienen
04 Oct
Tienen
0 : 0
Merelbeke
27 Sept
Cercle Brugge 2
1 : 3
Tienen
20 Sept
Tienen
1 : 1
SK Roeselare
13 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
0 : 4
Tienen
Page 1 of 6

Mandel United

(Away)
17 Oct
Mandel United
3 : 1
Zelzate
11 Oct
Merelbeke
0 : 2
Mandel United
03 Oct
Mandel United
1 : 0
Belisia Bilzen
30 Sept
Houtvenne
2 : 1
Mandel United
26 Sept
Mandel United
1 : 3
Hasselt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Houtvenne 8 7 0 1 20:8 21
2 Mandel United 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
3 Leuven B 8 5 1 2 19:14 16
4 SK Roeselare 8 4 3 1 12:4 15
5 Merelbeke 8 4 2 2 13:7 14
6 Belisia Bilzen 8 3 2 3 16:15 11
7 Dessel 8 3 2 3 16:17 11
8 Knokke 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
9 Hoogstraten 8 2 4 2 19:15 10
10 Thes Sport 8 2 4 2 12:11 10
11 Tienen 7 2 3 2 14:10 9
12 Heist 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
13 Cercle Brugge 2 8 2 2 4 11:17 8
14 K. Lyra-Lierse 8 1 3 4 13:19 6
15 KRC Harelbeke 8 1 1 6 6:23 4
16 Zelzate 8 0 3 5 7:19 3
Promotion - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)