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Tienen vs Merelbeke - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV
Tienen Logo

Tienen

0 - 0
FT
Merelbeke Logo

Merelbeke

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National Division 1 - VV matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tienen
35%
Draws
25%
Merelbeke
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tienen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Merelbeke average 1.55 goals a game right now, well clear of Tienen's 1.42.
  • Tienen are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tienen Clean Sheet 17%
Merelbeke Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tienen Merelbeke
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.42 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs Merelbeke
0:0
Mar 8, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs Merelbeke
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs Tienen
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs Tienen
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs Merelbeke
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tienen 57 / 100
Merelbeke 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tienen Merelbeke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tienen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Merelbeke conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Tienen's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Tienen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tienen VS Merelbeke
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tienen

(Home)
04 Oct
Tienen
0 : 0
Merelbeke
27 Sept
Cercle Brugge 2
1 : 3
Tienen
20 Sept
Tienen
1 : 1
SK Roeselare
13 Sept
KRC Harelbeke
0 : 4
Tienen
06 Sept
Leuven B
2 : 1
Tienen
Page 1 of 7

Merelbeke

(Away)
04 Oct
Tienen
0 : 0
Merelbeke
30 Sept
Merelbeke
1 : 1
Dessel
27 Sept
Merelbeke
0 : 1
Eupen
20 Sept
Merelbeke
3 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
13 Sept
Belisia Bilzen
1 : 0
Merelbeke
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Houtvenne 6 5 0 1 17:8 15
2 Leuven B 6 4 0 2 15:13 12
3 SK Roeselare 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
4 Merelbeke 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
5 Dessel 6 3 2 1 13:11 11
6 Mandel United 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
7 Knokke 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
8 Thes Sport 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
9 Tienen 6 2 2 2 12:8 8
10 Belisia Bilzen 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
11 Heist 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
12 Hoogstraten 6 1 3 2 14:13 6
13 K. Lyra-Lierse 6 1 3 2 12:16 6
14 Cercle Brugge 2 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
15 Zelzate 6 0 3 3 5:12 3
16 KRC Harelbeke 6 0 1 5 4:19 1
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