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Tigers FC vs Queanbeyan City

Australia Australia

NPL ACT Jerrabomberra Regional Sports Complex, Jerrabomberra
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Southam M.
71' Event
Jambrek R.
75' Event
Bonnett X.

AI Match Summary

The NPL ACT game between Tigers FC and Queanbeyan City finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Tigers FC
15%
Draws
38%
Queanbeyan City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tigers FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Tigers FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tigers FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tigers FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tigers FC Clean Sheet 15%
Queanbeyan City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigers FC Queanbeyan City
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 24 15
Draws 2 3
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.78 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 NPL ACT
Tigers FC vs Queanbeyan City
2:2
Apr 18, 2026 NPL ACT
Queanbeyan City vs Tigers FC
0:2
Aug 30, 2025 NPL ACT
Tigers FC vs Queanbeyan City
3:1
Jul 19, 2025 NPL ACT
Tigers FC vs Queanbeyan City
1:0
May 24, 2025 NPL ACT
Queanbeyan City vs Tigers FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigers FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Southam M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Queanbeyan City Compare

Top Goalscorer Jambrek R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonnett X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigers FC 84 / 100
Queanbeyan City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigers FC Queanbeyan City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigers FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tigers FC scored in 94% of their last 32 outings.

Tigers FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Queanbeyan City conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Tigers FC VS Queanbeyan City
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigers FC

(Home)
13 Sept
Canberra Croatia
0 : 3
Tigers FC
05 Sept
Monaro Panthers
1 : 2
Tigers FC
29 Aug
Tigers FC
4 : 2
Canberra Juventus
15 Aug
Brindabella Blues
1 : 6
Tigers FC
08 Aug
Canberra Olympic
2 : 5
Tigers FC
Page 1 of 7

Queanbeyan City

(Away)
05 Sept
Canberra Croatia
1 : 0
Queanbeyan City
29 Aug
Tuggeranong United
0 : 2
Queanbeyan City
22 Aug
Queanbeyan City
1 : 0
O'Connor Knights
16 Aug
Canberra Juventus
1 : 2
Queanbeyan City
05 Aug
Queanbeyan City
4 : 2
Tuggeranong United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canberra Croatia 20 17 1 2 64:24 52
2 Monaro Panthers 20 15 1 4 71:26 46
3 Tigers FC 20 14 2 4 59:24 44
4 Tuggeranong United 20 14 0 6 49:39 42
5 Queanbeyan City 20 12 2 6 42:28 38
6 Canberra Juventus 20 11 0 9 39:39 33
7 Canberra Olympic 20 7 2 11 45:55 23
8 O'Connor Knights 20 6 2 12 24:39 20
9 Belconnen United 20 2 3 15 25:50 9
10 Brindabella Blues 20 3 0 17 15:66 9
11 Canberra White Eagles 20 2 1 17 17:60 7
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL ACT (Play Offs)