Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tigre 2 vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Orellano L.
42' Event
Ferreyra R.
53' Event
Sabattini J.

AI Match Summary

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnasia Mendoza 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tigre 2
20%
Draws
47%
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gimnasia Mendoza 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gimnasia Mendoza 2 lately — more wins on the board than Tigre 2.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Tigre 2 Clean Sheet 15%
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigre 2 Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Reserve League
Tigre 2 vs Gimnasia Mendoza 2
1:3
Mar 26, 2026 Reserve League
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 vs Tigre 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigre 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreyra R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Gimnasia Mendoza 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Orellano L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sabattini J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigre 2 31 / 100
Gimnasia Mendoza 2 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigre 2 Gimnasia Mendoza 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnasia Mendoza 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Tigre 2 scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Gimnasia Mendoza 2 conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Tigre 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tigre 2 VS Gimnasia Mendoza 2
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigre 2

(Home)
29 Sept
Tigre 2
2 : 1
Gimnasia L.P. 2
23 Sept
Defensa y Justicia 2
2 : 1
Tigre 2
16 Sept
Union de Santa Fe 2
5 : 1
Tigre 2
10 Sept
Tigre 2
2 : 0
Atl. Tucuman 2
02 Sept
Godoy Cruz 2
2 : 2
Tigre 2
Page 1 of 6

Gimnasia Mendoza 2

(Away)
01 Oct
Barracas Central 2
0 : 0
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
24 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia 2
0 : 1
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
16 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
1 : 0
Talleres Cordoba 2
10 Sept
Banfield 2
1 : 2
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
03 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
1 : 2
Rosario Central 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 2 12 5 7 0 20:10 22
2 Rosario Central 2 12 5 5 2 17:16 20
3 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 11 6 1 4 13:11 19
4 Velez Sarsfield 2 11 4 5 2 11:4 17
5 Gimnasia L.P. 2 12 4 5 3 13:8 17
6 Sarmiento Junin 2 11 4 5 2 11:7 17
7 Talleres Cordoba 2 11 4 5 2 12:9 17
8 Union de Santa Fe 2 12 3 7 2 17:10 16
9 Godoy Cruz 2 11 4 4 3 14:12 16
10 San Lorenzo 2 11 4 2 5 12:11 14
11 Instituto 2 11 3 5 3 14:15 14
12 Tigre 2 11 4 2 5 15:19 14
13 Racing Club 2 12 2 7 3 19:20 13
14 Atl. Tucuman 2 11 3 3 5 7:13 12
15 Argentinos Jrs 2 11 2 5 4 7:11 11
16 Banfield 2 12 2 3 7 10:22 9
17 Aldosivi 2 11 1 5 5 9:14 8
18 Barracas Central 2 11 1 4 6 8:19 7
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 11 8 2 1 25:9 26
2 Lanus 2 11 7 2 2 20:13 23
3 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 11 6 4 1 11:5 22
4 Estudiantes L.P. 2 12 6 3 3 19:11 21
5 Deportivo Riestra 2 11 6 2 3 19:10 20
6 Boca Juniors 2 11 5 4 2 15:8 19
7 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 11 5 4 2 16:15 19
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 12 5 4 3 14:14 19
9 Huracan 2 12 5 2 5 14:10 17
10 Quilmes 2 12 4 4 4 10:10 16
11 Newells Old Boys 2 12 3 5 4 14:12 14
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 12 2 6 4 18:19 12
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 11 3 3 5 10:16 12
14 San Martin S.J. 2 11 2 4 5 7:18 10
15 Ind. Rivadavia 2 11 2 3 6 12:20 9
16 Colon Santa Fe 2 11 2 2 7 8:16 8
17 Platense 2 11 0 6 5 4:13 6
18 Ferro 2 11 1 2 8 9:24 5
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)