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Tigre vs America De Cali Prediction & H2H Stats

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio José Dellagiovanna, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Sub
Laso J. In: Barrionuevo A.
Out: Laso J.
14' Event
Garay M.
Assist: Lopez S.
28' Event
Russo I.
Assist: Arias R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Tigre
20%
Draws
57%
America De Cali
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: America De Cali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and America De Cali come out ahead of Tigre on wins alone.
  • Model gives America De Cali a 57% chance of winning this.
  • America De Cali arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tigre, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Tigre Clean Sheet 16%
America De Cali Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigre America De Cali
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 16
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.89 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
America De Cali vs Tigre
1:1
May 1, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Tigre vs America De Cali
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigre Compare

Top Goalscorer Garay M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Russo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

America De Cali Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigre 11 / 100
America De Cali 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigre America De Cali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America De Cali Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Tigre scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

America De Cali has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Tigre has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tigre VS America De Cali
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigre

(Home)
21 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
3 : 2
Tigre
13 Sept
Tigre
0 : 1
Rosario Central
05 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 1
Tigre
01 Sept
Tigre
0 : 0
Barracas Central
24 Aug
Tigre
2 : 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
Page 1 of 6

America De Cali

(Away)
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1
America De Cali
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1
Dep. Pasto
09 Sept
America De Cali
4 : 1
Dep. Pereira
03 Sept
America De Cali
3 : 0
Alianza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macara 6 2 4 0 6:3 10
2 Tigre 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
3 America De Cali 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
4 Alianza Atl. 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
2 Cienciano 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
3 Juventud 6 1 4 1 10:7 7
4 Academia Puerto Cabello 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo 6 3 3 0 6:1 12
2 O Higgins 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Millonarios 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
4 Boston River 6 1 0 5 5:12 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Recoleta 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
2 Santos 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
3 San Lorenzo 6 1 4 1 6:5 7
4 Dep. Cuenca 6 1 3 2 3:7 6
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ 6 5 1 0 15:5 16
2 Caracas 6 2 3 1 9:9 9
3 Racing Club 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
4 Independiente 6 0 0 6 3:15 0
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevideo City 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Gremio 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
3 Deportivo Riestra 6 1 2 3 4:10 5
4 Palestino 6 0 3 3 1:6 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 Vasco 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 A. Italiano 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
4 Barracas Central 6 0 3 3 2:8 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Bragantino 6 3 1 2 12:5 10
3 Carabobo 6 3 0 3 6:5 9
4 Blooming 6 0 1 5 3:17 1
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)