Sport Picks
Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio José Dellagiovanna, Buenos Aires 
AI Match Summary
Tigre host Sarmiento Junin in the Liga Profesional. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sarmiento Junin have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Tigre have conceded 0.97 and scored 0.94. Past meetings favor Sarmiento Junin slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.44) point toward Sarmiento Junin. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sarmiento Junin carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Tigre's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tigre | Sarmiento Junin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 12 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tigre's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Sarmiento Junin let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.
Tigre has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Tigre
(Home)Sarmiento Junin
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 32 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 23:13 | 27 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 22:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | 27 |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Union de Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13:22 | 9 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Argentinos Jrs | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23:19 | 28 |
| 4 | River Plate | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 19:13 | 23 |
| 5 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 14:11 | 22 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 13:11 | 22 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 21 |
| 8 | Huracan | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 12:16 | 19 |
| 9 | Ind. Rivadavia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 10 | Atl. Tucuman | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:13 | 17 |
| 11 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15:16 | 16 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:22 | 15 |
| 13 | Banfield | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:24 | 11 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10:21 | 9 |
