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Tigres Brasil vs Bonsucesso

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Carioca 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Matheus Jussa
82' Event
Marcos Vinicius

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Carioca 2017 game between Tigres Brasil and Bonsucesso finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bonsucesso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tigres Brasil
35%
Draws
32%
Bonsucesso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Bonsucesso carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Tigres Brasil taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Carioca 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Tigres Brasil Clean Sheet 68%
Bonsucesso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres Brasil Bonsucesso
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 14
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2017 Carioca
Bonsucesso vs Tigres Brasil
0:0
Feb 18, 2017 Carioca
Tigres Brasil vs Bonsucesso
0:2
Jan 21, 2017 Carioca
Bonsucesso vs Tigres Brasil
0:2
Apr 16, 2016 Carioca
Bonsucesso vs Tigres Brasil
2:1
Feb 22, 2015 Carioca
Tigres Brasil vs Bonsucesso
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres Brasil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Bonsucesso Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Jussa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcos Vinicius
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres Brasil 95 / 100
Bonsucesso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres Brasil Bonsucesso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres Brasil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres Brasil's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bonsucesso let in goals in 62% of their last 34 matches.

Solid form: Tigres Brasil remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tigres Brasil VS Bonsucesso
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres Brasil

(Home)
12 Jul
Tigres Brasil
0 : 0
Campos AA
06 Jul
Campos AA
3 : 2
Tigres Brasil
03 Jul
Rio Barra
1 : 1
Tigres Brasil
28 Jun
Tigres Brasil
4 : 0
Uniao Central
08 Jun
Ceres
2 : 4
Tigres Brasil
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Bonsucesso

(Away)
22 Jul
Madureira
2 : 1
Bonsucesso
15 Jul
Bonsucesso
2 : 2
Madureira
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
01 Jul
Bonsucesso
3 : 2
America RJ
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
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