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Tigres de Alica vs Lobos ULMX - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Gonzalez J.
87' Event
Martinez Y.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Premier game between Tigres de Alica and Lobos ULMX finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Tigres de Alica
30%
Draws
23%
Lobos ULMX
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tigres de Alica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Tigres de Alica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tigres de Alica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Tigres de Alica Clean Sheet 68%
Lobos ULMX Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres de Alica Lobos ULMX
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.76 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Primera Premier
Tigres de Alica vs Lobos ULMX
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres de Alica Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Lobos ULMX Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres de Alica 95 / 100
Lobos ULMX 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres de Alica Lobos ULMX

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres de Alica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres de Alica's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Lobos ULMX conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Tigres de Alica has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tigres de Alica VS Lobos ULMX
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres de Alica

(Home)
04 Oct
Tigres de Alica
1 : 0
Purepechas
27 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
19 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Lobos ULMX
13 Sept
Irapuato
2 : 1
Tigres de Alica
06 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 2
Tigres de Alica
Page 1 of 6

Lobos ULMX

(Away)
04 Oct
Lobos ULMX
2 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
27 Sept
Irapuato
3 : 0
Lobos ULMX
19 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Lobos ULMX
13 Sept
Lobos ULMX
1 : 2
Los Cabos United
05 Sept
Zacatepec
2 : 1
Lobos ULMX
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 5 5 0 0 13:4 16
2 Reboceros de La Piedad 5 4 0 1 10:6 11
3 Tigres de Alica 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
4 Zacatepec 6 3 1 2 8:7 11
5 Los Cabos United 6 3 0 3 6:7 9
6 Cordobes FC 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
7 Lobos ULMX 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
8 Tritones Vallarta 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
9 Purepechas 5 0 1 4 1:7 1
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 5 3 2 0 16:6 13
2 Pioneros 5 4 0 1 14:6 13
3 Celaya 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 5 2 1 2 5:5 8
5 Deportiva Venados 5 1 2 2 9:9 6
6 Montaneses 6 2 1 3 9:12 6
7 Chapulineros 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
9 Tapachula 5 1 0 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)