Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tigres Futbol Club vs Envigado

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Gamboa Valencia J. J.
36' Event
Viafara D.
46'
Sub
Diaz L. In: Hurtado W.
Out: Diaz L.

AI Match Summary

Envigado in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Envigado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tigres Futbol Club
44%
Draws
20%
Envigado
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Envigado lately — more wins on the board than Tigres Futbol Club.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Tigres Futbol Club Clean Sheet 17%
Envigado Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres Futbol Club Envigado
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 6 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Envigado
1:2
Apr 29, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Tigres Futbol Club
2:0
Feb 9, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Tigres Futbol Club
0:0
Mar 29, 2023 Copa Colombia
Envigado vs Tigres Futbol Club
0:1
Mar 15, 2023 Copa Colombia
Tigres Futbol Club vs Envigado
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres Futbol Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Viafara D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Envigado Compare

Top Goalscorer Gamboa Valencia J. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres Futbol Club 36 / 100
Envigado 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres Futbol Club Envigado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ENV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tigres Futbol Club found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Envigado conceded in 52% of 27 recent games.

Tigres Futbol Club went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tigres Futbol Club VS Envigado
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres Futbol Club

(Home)
29 Jul
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 2
Atl. Nacional
24 Jul
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 1
Leones
21 Jul
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0
Tigres Futbol Club
19 May
Inter Palmira
2 : 2
Tigres Futbol Club
14 May
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 2
Envigado
Page 1 of 6

Envigado

(Away)
27 Jul
Envigado
1 : 0
Real Cundinamarca
22 Jul
Once Caldas
3 : 0
Envigado
29 May
Envigado
1 : 1
Cartagena
26 May
Cartagena
2 : 3
Envigado
18 May
Envigado
1 : 0
Quindio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado63216:311
2Quindio63124:310
3Inter Palmira61413:37
4Tigres Futbol Club61144:84
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cartagena64118:613
2Union Magdalena62318:49
3Barranquilla61325:66
4Bogota60333:83
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)