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Tigres UANL U21 vs Necaxa U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
0 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Necaxa U21 in this Liga MX U21 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Necaxa U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tigres UANL U21
15%
Draws
51%
Necaxa U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Necaxa U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Necaxa U21 have won more games recently than Tigres UANL U21.
  • Win probability leans Tigres UANL U21's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Necaxa U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tigres UANL U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Necaxa U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres UANL U21 Necaxa U21
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 15
Draws 0 0
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga MX U21
Tigres UANL U21 vs Necaxa U21
0:1
Apr 18, 2026 Liga MX U21
Necaxa U21 vs Tigres UANL U21
2:1
Oct 17, 2025 Liga MX U21
Tigres UANL U21 vs Necaxa U21
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres UANL U21 41 / 100
Necaxa U21 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres UANL U21 Necaxa U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tigres UANL U21 scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Necaxa U21 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Tigres UANL U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tigres UANL U21 VS Necaxa U21
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres UANL U21

(Home)
09 Oct
Tigres UANL U21
1 : 2
Toluca U21
26 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
2 : 1
Puebla U21
18 Sept
Juarez U21
2 : 1
Tigres UANL U21
13 Sept
Monterrey U21
1 : 2
Tigres UANL U21
05 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
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Necaxa U21

(Away)
27 Sept
Necaxa U21
1 : 0
Club America U21
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
3 : 2
Necaxa U21
11 Sept
Necaxa U21
0 : 2
Puebla U21
05 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
28 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 11 11 0 0 22:8 30
2 Club Leon U21 11 10 0 1 21:10 27
3 Club Tijuana U21 10 7 0 3 18:12 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 10 6 0 4 16:14 18
5 Puebla U21 11 5 0 6 12:11 17
6 Club America U21 10 5 0 5 14:14 15
7 Santos Laguna U21 10 5 0 5 10:12 15
8 Monterrey U21 9 5 0 4 19:13 14
9 Necaxa U21 10 5 0 5 11:15 14
10 Atletico San Luis U21 10 5 0 5 17:19 13
11 Pachuca U21 10 3 0 7 10:15 13
12 Atlante U21 10 4 0 6 14:20 13
13 Cruz Azul U21 10 5 0 5 18:16 12
14 Atlas U21 10 3 0 7 13:13 12
15 UNAM Pumas U21 10 3 0 7 10:14 12
16 Juarez U21 10 4 0 6 9:12 11
17 Tigres UANL U21 11 3 0 8 11:21 10
18 Queretaro U21 9 2 0 7 10:16 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)