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Tigres UANL U21 vs Queretaro U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Sun, Mar 15, 2026
0 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

77'
Trinidad Aguilar Pena M.
77'
Trinidad Aguilar Pena M.
90'
Duenas E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 2025/2026 game between Tigres UANL U21 and Queretaro U21 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Queretaro U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Tigres UANL U21
15%
Draws
36%
Queretaro U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tigres UANL U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Tigres UANL U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tigres UANL U21's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Queretaro U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tigres UANL U21 Clean Sheet 18%
Queretaro U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres UANL U21 Queretaro U21
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 2 0
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.28 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga MX U21
Queretaro U21 vs Tigres UANL U21
4:0
Mar 15, 2026 Liga MX U21
Tigres UANL U21 vs Queretaro U21
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Liga MX U21
Queretaro U21 vs Tigres UANL U21
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres UANL U21 49 / 100
Queretaro U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres UANL U21 Queretaro U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres UANL U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Queretaro U21 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Tigres UANL U21's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Queretaro U21 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tigres UANL U21 VS Queretaro U21
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres UANL U21

(Home)
26 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
1 : 1
Puebla U21
18 Sept
Juarez U21
2 : 1
Tigres UANL U21
13 Sept
Monterrey U21
1 : 2
Tigres UANL U21
05 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
29 Aug
Santos Laguna U21
1 : 0
Tigres UANL U21
Page 1 of 7

Queretaro U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4
Queretaro U21
20 Sept
Queretaro U21
0 : 2
Club Leon U21
11 Sept
Club Tijuana U21
3 : 1
Queretaro U21
29 Aug
Atlas U21
2 : 0
Queretaro U21
21 Aug
Queretaro U21
0 : 2
Toluca U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)