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Tigres UANL vs Atlante - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Universitario, San Nicolas de los Garza
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Match Events

29'
Calzadilla L.
36'
Calzadilla L.
36'
Calzadilla L.

AI Match Summary

Tigres UANL in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tigres UANL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tigres UANL
35%
Draws
32%
Atlante
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Tigres UANL have won more games recently than Atlante.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Tigres UANL taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tigres UANL have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Tigres UANL Clean Sheet 20%
Atlante Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tigres UANL Atlante
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.41 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Atlante
2:0
Apr 6, 2014 Liga MX
Atlante vs Tigres UANL
0:2
Mar 20, 2014 Copa Mexico
Tigres UANL vs Atlante
6:0
Oct 20, 2013 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Atlante
3:1
Jan 14, 2013 Liga MX
Atlante vs Tigres UANL
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tigres UANL Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguirre R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brunetta J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Atlante Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tigres UANL 42 / 100
Atlante 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tigres UANL Atlante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Tigres UANL found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Atlante's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Tigres UANL remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tigres UANL VS Atlante
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tigres UANL

(Home)
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
19 Sept
Juarez
2 : 0
Tigres UANL
13 Sept
Monterrey
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
06 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 1
Necaxa
30 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
Page 1 of 6

Atlante

(Away)
26 Sept
Atlante
4 : 2
Monterrey
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1
Atlante
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Atlante
29 Aug
Atlante
1 : 1
Club Leon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)