Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012 game between Tijarafe and Estrella finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Estrella carry the better recent record into this one.
- Estrella are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Estrella have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tijarafe Clean Sheet 20%
Estrella Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tijarafe | Estrella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 36 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 23 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.33 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 12, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs Tijarafe
5:1
Dec 21, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tijarafe vs Estrella
1:2
Apr 14, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tijarafe vs Estrella
0:0
Nov 11, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs Tijarafe
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tijarafe 24 / 100
Estrella 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tijarafe Estrella
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Estrella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tijarafe scored in 64% of their last 33 outings.
Estrella has conceded goals in 69% of their last 36 outings.
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Tijarafe remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Estrella
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Tijarafe
(Home) 19 May
Tijarafe
3 : 0 Vecindario
12 May
Estrella
5 : 1 Tijarafe
04 May
Tijarafe
1 : 0 UD Gomera
28 Apr
Las Zocas
4 : 0 Tijarafe
20 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 3 San Isidro
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19 May
Tijarafe
3 : 0 Vecindario
04 May
Tijarafe
1 : 0 UD Gomera
20 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 3 San Isidro
06 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 2 Vera CD
23 Mar
Tijarafe
2 : 4 Union Viera
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Estrella
(Away) 11 May
Estrella
2 : 1 Herbania
04 May
San Bartolome
1 : 0 Estrella
26 Apr
Estrella
1 : 1 CD Santa Ursula
17 Apr
CD Buzanada
1 : 1 Estrella
12 Apr
Estrella
2 : 2 CD Marino
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04 May
San Bartolome
1 : 0 Estrella
17 Apr
CD Buzanada
1 : 1 Estrella
06 Apr
Mensajero
3 : 2 Estrella
21 Mar
Arucas
2 : 0 Estrella
07 Mar
Union Viera
0 : 2 Estrella
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Marino | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 77:35 | 76 |
| 2 | SD Tenisca | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 60:41 | 72 |
| 3 | Las Palmas B | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 68:29 | 71 |
| 4 | Vera CD | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 68:40 | 70 |
| 5 | Lanzarote | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:34 | 69 |
| 6 | Atletico Granadilla | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 55:37 | 65 |
| 7 | Estrella | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 47:34 | 63 |
| 8 | Tenerife B | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 70:53 | 59 |
| 9 | Corralejo | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 49:45 | 58 |
| 10 | Telde | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 55:52 | 54 |
| 11 | San Pedro Martir | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 50:59 | 47 |
| 12 | UD San Andres y Sauces | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 47:65 | 46 |
| 13 | Mensajero | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 54:63 | 45 |
| 14 | Villa Santa Brigida | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 56:66 | 45 |
| 15 | Atletico Victoria | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45:62 | 45 |
| 16 | Las Zocas | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 46:60 | 41 |
| 17 | Tijarafe | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 39:67 | 38 |
| 18 | CD Laguna | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 35:55 | 37 |
| 19 | Real Sporting San Jose | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 36:68 | 32 |
| 20 | CD Charco Del Pino | 38 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 36:78 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
