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Tijarafe vs Las Palmas B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012 game between Tijarafe and Las Palmas B finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Las Palmas B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tijarafe
15%
Draws
34%
Las Palmas B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tijarafe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Las Palmas B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tijarafe's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Las Palmas B have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tijarafe Clean Sheet 20%
Las Palmas B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tijarafe Las Palmas B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas B vs Tijarafe
10:1
Oct 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tijarafe vs Las Palmas B
1:2
Apr 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tijarafe vs Las Palmas B
1:3
Nov 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas B vs Tijarafe
4:0
Mar 26, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tijarafe vs Las Palmas B
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tijarafe 42 / 100
Las Palmas B 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tijarafe Las Palmas B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Las Palmas B conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Tijarafe's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Las Palmas B's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Las Palmas B
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tijarafe

(Home)
19 May
Tijarafe
3 : 0
Vecindario
12 May
Estrella
5 : 1
Tijarafe
04 May
Tijarafe
1 : 0
UD Gomera
28 Apr
Las Zocas
4 : 0
Tijarafe
20 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 3
San Isidro
Page 1 of 6

Las Palmas B

(Away)
04 Oct
Recreativo Huelva
4 : 0
Las Palmas B
27 Sept
Las Palmas B
0 : 0
CD Badajoz
20 Sept
Linares
0 : 1
Las Palmas B
13 Sept
Don Benito
3 : 0
Las Palmas B
06 Sept
Las Palmas B
0 : 1
Betis B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Marino 38 23 7 8 77:35 76
2 SD Tenisca 38 22 6 10 60:41 72
3 Las Palmas B 38 20 11 7 68:29 71
4 Vera CD 38 20 10 8 68:40 70
5 Lanzarote 38 20 9 9 50:34 69
6 Atletico Granadilla 38 19 8 11 55:37 65
7 Estrella 38 18 9 11 47:34 63
8 Tenerife B 38 16 11 11 70:53 59
9 Corralejo 38 16 10 12 49:45 58
10 Telde 38 16 6 16 55:52 54
11 San Pedro Martir 38 11 14 13 50:59 47
12 UD San Andres y Sauces 38 13 7 18 47:65 46
13 Mensajero 38 13 6 19 54:63 45
14 Villa Santa Brigida 38 12 9 17 56:66 45
15 Atletico Victoria 38 11 12 15 45:62 45
16 Las Zocas 38 11 8 19 46:60 41
17 Tijarafe 38 11 5 22 39:67 38
18 CD Laguna 38 10 7 21 35:55 37
19 Real Sporting San Jose 38 8 8 22 36:68 32
20 CD Charco Del Pino 38 5 7 26 36:78 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)