Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tikves vs Arsimi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Lawal T.
27' Event
Sylla N.
33' Event
Ramadani A.

AI Match Summary

The 1. MFL game between Tikves and Arsimi finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tikves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tikves
35%
Draws
23%
Arsimi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tikves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arsimi come out ahead of Tikves on wins alone.
  • Tikves are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1. MFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tikves Clean Sheet 20%
Arsimi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tikves Arsimi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.31 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 1. MFL
Tikves vs Arsimi
5:1
May 3, 2026 1. MFL
Tikves vs Arsimi
1:1
Mar 4, 2026 1. MFL
Arsimi vs Tikves
0:5
Oct 24, 2025 1. MFL
Tikves vs Arsimi
3:4
Sep 20, 2023 Macedonian Cup
Arsimi vs Tikves
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tikves Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla N.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Lawal T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Arsimi Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramadani A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tikves 85 / 100
Arsimi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tikves Arsimi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tikves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Tikves remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Tikves found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Arsimi let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tikves VS Arsimi
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tikves

(Home)
06 Oct
Krosu Sport Bitola
0 : 13
Tikves
02 Oct
Rabotnicki
1 : 1
Tikves
18 Sept
Sileks
0 : 0
Tikves
11 Sept
Tikves
2 : 2
Struga
04 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
1 : 3
Tikves
Page 1 of 6

Arsimi

(Away)
24 Sept
Mogila
0 : 12
Arsimi
21 Sept
Struga
6 : 0
Arsimi
11 Sept
Arsimi
2 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Arsimi
29 Aug
Arsimi
0 : 0
FK Skopje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 8 6 1 1 20:8 19
2 Struga 8 5 2 1 19:5 17
3 Vardar 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
4 Tikves 8 3 4 1 17:7 13
5 Shkendija Haracine 8 4 1 3 6:9 13
6 Bregalnica Stip 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
7 Sileks 8 2 3 3 13:10 9
8 Arsimi 8 2 2 4 6:19 8
9 Bashkimi 8 1 1 6 7:25 4
10 FK Skopje 8 0 3 5 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)