Sport Picks

North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026

Shkendija Tetovo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tikves play Shkendija Tetovo in the 1. MFL 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tikves averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. Shkendija Tetovo averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. In past meetings, Tikves won 0, Shkendija Tetovo won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 17, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.41 for Tikves and 2.56 for Shkendija Tetovo. This points to a Shkendija Tetovo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Tikves

15%

Draws

51%

Shkendija Tetovo

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shkendija Tetovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Tikves picked up more points recently compared to Shkendija Tetovo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.41 vs 2.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Tikves Clean Sheet 10%

Shkendija Tetovo Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tikves	Shkendija Tetovo
Matches Played	31	37
Wins	14	24
Draws	5	4
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	1.94	1.97
Goals Conceded	1.65	1.24
Expected Goals (xG)	1.57	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 1. MFL

Tikves vs Shkendija Tetovo

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 0 - 3

1:4

Feb 14, 2026 1. MFL

Tikves vs Shkendija Tetovo

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 2 - 2

1:4

Nov 19, 2025 Macedonian Cup

Shkendija Tetovo vs Tikves

Possession: 49% - 42% Cards: 4 - 4

2:0

Sep 21, 2025 1. MFL

Shkendija Tetovo vs Tikves

Possession: 45% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Apr 6, 2025 1. MFL

Tikves vs Shkendija Tetovo

Possession: 48% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tikves Compare

Avg xG / game 1.21

Avg xA / game 0.79

Shkendija Tetovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Meliqi A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ibraimi B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tikves 33 / 100

Shkendija Tetovo 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tikves Shkendija Tetovo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shkendija Tetovo or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tikves attacking → ← attacking Shkendija Tetovo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tikves scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Shkendija Tetovo let in goals in 73% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Tikves went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Shkendija Tetovo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 76

1.57 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vardar	33	26	5	2	80:21	83
2	Shkendija Tetovo	33	23	5	5	67:30	74
3	Struga	33	19	5	9	68:28	62
4	Sileks	33	16	5	12	59:36	53
5	Tikves	33	14	6	13	59:47	48
6	Arsimi	33	13	7	13	50:53	46
7	Bashkimi	33	11	9	13	40:54	42
8	Pelister	33	10	10	13	41:42	40
9	Brera Strumica	33	10	10	13	46:56	40
10	Makedonija GP	33	9	7	17	42:57	34
11	Rabotnicki	33	9	6	18	45:58	33
12	Shkupi	33	0	1	32	15:130	1