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Tilikratis Lefkada vs Ermis Amyntaio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2024/2025 game between Tilikratis Lefkada and Ermis Amyntaio finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tilikratis Lefkada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tilikratis Lefkada
20%
Draws
29%
Ermis Amyntaio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tilikratis Lefkada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tilikratis Lefkada come out ahead of Ermis Amyntaio on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tilikratis Lefkada a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tilikratis Lefkada here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Tilikratis Lefkada Clean Sheet 20%
Ermis Amyntaio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tilikratis Lefkada Ermis Amyntaio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 2
Draws 11 3
Losses 8 25
Goals Scored 1.17 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.9 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Tilikratis Lefkada vs Ermis Amyntaio
4:1
Oct 13, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ermis Amyntaio vs Tilikratis Lefkada
1:4
Mar 11, 2018 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Ermis Amyntaio vs Tilikratis Lefkada
1:2
Nov 26, 2017 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Tilikratis Lefkada vs Ermis Amyntaio
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tilikratis Lefkada 85 / 100
Ermis Amyntaio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tilikratis Lefkada Ermis Amyntaio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tilikratis Lefkada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ermis Amyntaio has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Tilikratis Lefkada found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Tilikratis Lefkada remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tilikratis Lefkada VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tilikratis Lefkada

(Home)
04 Oct
Tilikratis Lefkada
0 : 1
Agios Matthaios
27 Sept
Lefkimmi
0 : 1
Tilikratis Lefkada
08 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
2 : 0
Aris Filiaton
05 Apr
Asteras Stavrou
2 : 2
Tilikratis Lefkada
01 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
0 : 1
Lamia
Page 1 of 6

Ermis Amyntaio

(Away)
04 May
Ermis Amyntaio
3 : 3
Amvrakikos Vonitsa
30 Apr
O. Volos
4 : 0
Ermis Amyntaio
27 Apr
Ermis Amyntaio
0 : 3
Philippos Alexandreia
06 Apr
AO Trikala
3 : 0
Ermis Amyntaio
30 Mar
Ermis Amyntaio
3 : 0
Svoronos FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karditsa 34 28 4 2 77:11 88
2 Pierikos 34 27 6 1 79:10 87
3 Tilikratis Lefkada 34 16 8 10 54:32 56
4 Anagennisi Arta 34 16 8 10 41:34 56
5 Anthoupoli 34 15 9 10 39:24 54
6 Thesprotos 34 14 12 8 34:22 54
7 Zakynthos 34 15 8 11 54:33 53
8 AO Trikala 34 15 8 11 48:28 53
9 Kozani FC 34 15 7 12 47:36 52
10 Aris Filiaton 34 13 11 10 52:32 50
11 Philippos Alexandreia 34 12 14 8 40:31 50
12 Aiginiakos 34 15 5 14 44:54 50
13 O. Volos 34 12 11 11 38:38 47
14 Atromitos Palamas 34 10 8 16 31:46 38
15 Amvrakikos Vonitsa 34 5 8 21 32:67 23
16 Ermis Amyntaio 34 2 3 29 23:103 9
17 Svoronos FC 33 3 7 23 14:67 7
18 Asteras Petriti 33 2 3 28 14:93 0
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