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Tiller vs Melhus

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ramlo M.
21' Event
Hammeras M.
25' Event
Totland P.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 2025 game between Tiller and Melhus finished 3-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melhus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Tiller
15%
Draws
73%
Melhus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Melhus come out ahead of Tiller on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Melhus's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Melhus here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Tiller Clean Sheet 10%
Melhus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiller Melhus
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 25 8
Goals Scored 1.27 2.29
Goals Conceded 3.37 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Tiller vs Melhus
3:6
Jun 21, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Melhus vs Tiller
3:1
Aug 31, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Tiller vs Melhus
0:6
Jun 8, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Melhus vs Tiller
3:0
Oct 16, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Tiller vs Melhus
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tiller Compare

Top Goalscorer Jensen M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Munguiko J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Melhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Hammeras M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Totland P.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiller 10 / 100
Melhus 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiller Melhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melhus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melhus has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 5.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Tiller scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Melhus has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Melhus
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiller

(Home)
26 Oct
Byasen
3 : 2
Tiller
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
FK Kvik
4 : 0
Tiller
06 Oct
Tiller
2 : 5
Rosenborg 2
27 Sept
Trygg/Lade
1 : 0
Tiller
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Melhus

(Away)
12 Sept
Melhus
1 : 2
Volda
05 Sept
Herd
1 : 4
Melhus
30 Aug
Melhus
0 : 1
Strindheim
22 Aug
Melhus
0 : 3
Stjordals Blink
15 Aug
Nardo
1 : 3
Melhus
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