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Tiller vs Nardo

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Austberg I.
16' Event
Mugishu J.
65' Event
Nordland J.

AI Match Summary

Nardo in this Division 3 - Group 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tiller
39%
Draws
30%
Nardo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Nardo have won more games recently than Tiller.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Tiller Clean Sheet 10%
Nardo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiller Nardo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 25 13
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 3.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Tiller vs Nardo
2:3
May 10, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Nardo vs Tiller
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Tiller vs Nardo
2:1
Jul 20, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Nardo vs Tiller
1:2
Sep 23, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Nardo vs Tiller
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tiller Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Borseth M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Austberg I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mugishu J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiller 30 / 100
Nardo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiller Nardo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nardo conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Tiller scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Nardo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tiller VS Nardo
1.25 Goals Scored 2
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%