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Stadium Background

Tiller vs Nardo

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Austberg I.
16' Event
Mugishu J.
65' Event
Nordland J.

AI Match Summary

Nardo in this Division 3 - Group 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Tiller
15%
Draws
76%
Nardo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Nardo have won more games recently than Tiller.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Nardo taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Tiller Clean Sheet 10%
Nardo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiller Nardo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 25 13
Goals Scored 1.27 1.94
Goals Conceded 3.37 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Tiller vs Nardo
2:3
May 10, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Nardo vs Tiller
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Tiller vs Nardo
2:1
Jul 20, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Nardo vs Tiller
1:2
Sep 23, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Nardo vs Tiller
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tiller Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Borseth M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Austberg I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mugishu J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiller 10 / 100
Nardo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiller Nardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nardo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nardo conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Tiller scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Tiller stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tiller VS Nardo
2 Goals Scored 2.13
3 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiller

(Home)
26 Oct
Byasen
3 : 2
Tiller
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
FK Kvik
4 : 0
Tiller
06 Oct
Tiller
2 : 5
Rosenborg 2
27 Sept
Trygg/Lade
1 : 0
Tiller
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Nardo

(Away)
13 Sept
Rosenborg 2
2 : 5
Nardo
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
15 Aug
Nardo
1 : 3
Melhus
08 Aug
Volda
2 : 0
Nardo
03 Aug
Nardo
3 : 0
Molde 2
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