Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tiller W vs Molde W

Norway Norway

Norway Cup Women 2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Bye-Andersen I. S.
57' Event
Kristiansen V. W.
Own Goal
67' Event
Ims K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Molde W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Tiller W
20%
Draws
58%
Molde W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Molde W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Molde W come out ahead of Tiller W on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Molde W taking it.
  • Molde W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Molde W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 71%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Tiller W Clean Sheet 11%
Molde W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tiller W Molde W
Matches Played 8 29
Wins 3 13
Draws 0 4
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Norway Cup Women
Tiller W vs Molde W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tiller W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bye-Andersen I. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Molde W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ims K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Settemsdal M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tiller W 27 / 100
Molde W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tiller W Molde W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molde W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Molde W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Tiller W found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (8 games).

Solid form: Tiller W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tiller W VS Molde W
1.67 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tiller W

(Home)
08 Sept
Kil/Hemne W
3 : 0
Tiller W
11 May
Tiller W
1 : 3
Molde W
22 Apr
Steinkjer W
0 : 4
Tiller W
30 Apr
Ranheim W
4 : 2
Tiller W
12 Jun
Bodo/Glimt W
3 : 0
Tiller W
Page 1 of 2

Molde W

(Away)
13 Sept
Molde W
0 : 1
Honefoss W
22 Aug
Molde W
1 : 0
LSK Kvinner W
15 Aug
Roa W
1 : 1
Molde W
08 Aug
Bodo/Glimt W
1 : 2
Molde W
20 Jun
Molde W
3 : 3
Haugesund W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kongsvinger W 2
Grei W 5
Bodo/Glimt W -
TBD -
Ovrevoll Hosle W 1
Frigg W 2
TBD -
Lyn W -
Fana W 3
Klepp W 2
Lyngbo W 2
Fyllingsdalen W 5
Forde W 0
Sogndal W 5
TBD -
Brann W -
Raufoss W 0
Viking W 2
TBD -
Haugesund W -
Grimstad W 1
Bryne W 3
Arendal W 0
Start W 7
Ranheim W 1
Tynset W 4
TBD -
LSK Kvinner W -
Sarpsborg 08 W 2
Kolbotn W 0
TBD -
Honefoss W -
Sandefjord W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 3
KFUM Oslo W 0
Asane W 3
Rana FK W 1
Malvik W 3
TBD -
Rosenborg W -
Alta W 3
Krokelvdalen W 0
TBD -
Roa W -
Stromsgodset W 1
Odds BK W 2
TBD -
Stabaek W -
Melbo W 1
Medkila W 8
Lillestrom W 1
Tromso W 9
Storhamar Fotball W 0
Ham-Kam W 3
Valerenga W -
TBD -
Hodd W 0
Kil/Hemne W 3
TBD -
Aalesund W -
Steinkjer W 0
Tiller W 4
TBD -
Molde W -
1/16-finals
Grei W 3
Bodo/Glimt W 1
Frigg W 0
Lyn W 4
Fana W 2
Fyllingsdalen W 1
Sogndal W 1
Brann W 5
Viking W 3
Haugesund W 2
Bryne W 1
Start W 2
Tynset W 0
LSK Kvinner W 3
Sarpsborg 08 W 0
Honefoss W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 1
Asane W 0
Malvik W 0
Rosenborg W 15
Alta W 0
Roa W 10
Odds BK W 0
Stabaek W 4
Medkila W 0
Tromso W 7
Ham-Kam W 1
Valerenga W 8
Kil/Hemne W 1
Aalesund W 6
Tiller W 1
Molde W 3
1/8-finals
Grei W 1
Lyn W 4
Fana W 0
Brann W 3
Viking W 3
Start W 0
LSK Kvinner W 2
Honefoss W 3
Arna-Bjornar W 4
Rosenborg W 0
Roa W 1
Stabaek W 2
Tromso W 1
Valerenga W 3
Aalesund W 5
Molde W 1
Quarter-finals
Lyn W 0
Brann W 2
Viking W 4
Honefoss W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 2
Stabaek W 3
Valerenga W 1
Aalesund W 2
Semi-finals
Brann W 3
Viking W 0
Stabaek W 3
Aalesund W 4
Final
Brann W 3
Aalesund W 1