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Tillmitsch vs Leoben

Austria Austria

Steiermark 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tillmitsch in this Steiermark 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tillmitsch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tillmitsch
6%
Draws
4%
Leoben
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tillmitsch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tillmitsch lately — more wins on the board than Leoben.
  • Tillmitsch are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Steiermark 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Leoben here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tillmitsch Clean Sheet 16%
Leoben Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tillmitsch Leoben
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 21 5
Draws 3 2
Losses 7 21
Goals Scored 3.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Steiermark
Tillmitsch vs Leoben
4:1
Aug 29, 2025 Steiermark
Leoben vs Tillmitsch
1:0
Jul 5, 2024 Club Friendly
Tillmitsch vs Leoben
0:4
Jun 27, 2023 Club Friendly
Leoben vs Tillmitsch
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tillmitsch 84 / 100
Leoben 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tillmitsch Leoben

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tillmitsch scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Leoben's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Away concern: Leoben has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tillmitsch VS Leoben
3.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%