Sport Picks

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Tillmitsch vs St. Polten

Austria Austria

OFB Cup Nunner Arena Tillmitsch
Fri, Jul 24, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tillmitsch host St. Polten in the OFB Cup. Form suggests where the edge lies here. St. Polten have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while Tillmitsch have conceded 1.63 and scored 2.88. Past meetings favor Tillmitsch slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 3-0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.31) point toward Tillmitsch. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tillmitsch
33%
Draws
27%
St. Polten
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Tillmitsch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tillmitsch come out ahead of St. Polten on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tillmitsch's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Cup games in OFB Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tillmitsch Clean Sheet 18%
St. Polten Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tillmitsch St. Polten
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 19 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 OFB Cup
Tillmitsch vs St. Polten
3-0
Apr 12, 2025 OFB Cup
St. Polten vs Tillmitsch
2-0
Mar 12, 2025 OFB Cup
Tillmitsch vs St. Polten
1-0
Feb 12, 2025 OFB Cup
St. Polten vs Tillmitsch
2-1
Jan 12, 2025 OFB Cup
Tillmitsch vs St. Polten
1-0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tillmitsch 40 / 100
St. Polten 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tillmitsch St. Polten

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tillmitsch's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Tillmitsch remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

St. Polten has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tillmitsch VS St. Polten
2.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Atus Velden-
A. Klagenfurt-
Traiskirchen-
Bleiburg-
Lafnitz-
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth-
Wiener Viktoria-
Parndorf-
FC Lustenau-
Kitzbuhel-
Schwaz-
Wallern/St Marienkirchen-
Dietach-
Bischofshofen-
Vorwarts Steyr-
Kuchl-
Treibach-
Kapfenberg-
Tillmitsch-
St. Polten-
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch-
Amstetten-
Leoben-
ASK Voitsberg-
SV Leithaprodersdorf-
Admira-
Horn-
Floridsdorfer AC Wien-
Mattersburg SV 2020-
First Vienna-
Reichenau-
Wacker Innsbruck-
Union Gurten-
BW Linz-
Bad Leonfelden-
SW Bregenz-
Wals-Grunau-
A. Salzburg-
Hohenems-
Hogo Hertha Wels-
Wieselburg-
Tirol-
Kremser-
A. Lustenau-
Dornbirn-
Ried-
Leobendorf-
Altach-
SV Oberwart-
Salzburg-
SC Imst-
Hartberg-
Seekirchen-
Sturm Graz-
Donaufeld Wien-
Grazer AK-
Lauterach-
Wolfsberger AC-
Wiener-
Austria Vienna-
Wienerberger-
Rapid Vienna-
SC Kalsdorf-
LASK Linz-
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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