Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tillmitsch vs St. Polten

Austria Austria

OFB Cup Nunner Arena Tillmitsch, Tillmitsch
Tillmitsch Logo

Tillmitsch

Fri, Jul 24, 2026
1 - 2
05:30 PM
St. Polten Logo

St. Polten

Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Mane E. H.
81' Event
Oswald D.
113' Event
Gabbichler L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Tillmitsch
20%
Draws
34%
St. Polten
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tillmitsch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tillmitsch come out ahead of St. Polten on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tillmitsch's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Tillmitsch have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor St. Polten, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tillmitsch Clean Sheet 16%
St. Polten Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tillmitsch St. Polten
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 2 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.21 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 OFB Cup
Tillmitsch vs St. Polten
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tillmitsch Compare

Top Goalscorer Oswald D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

St. Polten Compare

Top Goalscorer Mane E. H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabbichler L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tillmitsch 39 / 100
St. Polten 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tillmitsch St. Polten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tillmitsch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tillmitsch's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

St. Polten's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Tillmitsch remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tillmitsch VS St. Polten
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tillmitsch

(Home)
11 Sept
Tillmitsch
2 : 2
SC Weiz
04 Sept
Allerheiligen
5 : 2
Tillmitsch
28 Aug
Tillmitsch
2 : 2
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch
22 Aug
Lafnitz
1 : 3
Tillmitsch
14 Aug
Tillmitsch
2 : 1
Gleisdorf
Page 1 of 6

St. Polten

(Away)
13 Sept
FC Liefering
1 : 3
St. Polten
06 Sept
St. Polten
0 : 3
Salzburg
28 Aug
St. Polten
1 : 0
A. Salzburg
21 Aug
Wacker Innsbruck
1 : 0
St. Polten
14 Aug
St. Polten
0 : 1
BW Linz
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Treibach 1
Kapfenberg 4
Hohenems 1
Hogo Hertha Wels 2
Wiener Viktoria 1
Parndorf 3
Lauterach 1
Wolfsberger AC 5
Union Gurten 1
BW Linz 3
Reichenau 0
Wacker Innsbruck 3
SV Leithaprodersdorf 2
Admira 1
Wieselburg 0
Tirol 6
Traiskirchen 4
Bleiburg 0
Wiener 0
Austria Vienna 5
Vorwarts Steyr 1
Kuchl 0
SC Imst 1
Hartberg 3
Wals-Grunau 1
A. Salzburg 5
Mattersburg SV 2020 1
First Vienna 2
Atus Velden 1
A. Klagenfurt 2
Wienerberger 0
Rapid Vienna 3
FC Lustenau 1
Kitzbuhel 4
Donaufeld Wien 0
Grazer AK 4
Dietach 3
Bischofshofen 4
Leobendorf 0
Altach 1
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch 2
Amstetten 1
SC Kalsdorf 0
LASK Linz 7
Schwaz 2
Wallern/St Marienkirchen 3
Dornbirn 1
Ried 5
Lafnitz 3
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 1
Kremser 0
A. Lustenau 1
Leoben 0
ASK Voitsberg 6
Seekirchen 0
Sturm Graz 3
Horn 1
Floridsdorfer AC Wien 2
Bad Leonfelden 0
SW Bregenz 5
Tillmitsch 1
St. Polten 2
SV Oberwart 1
Salzburg 7
1/16-finals
Kapfenberg 0
Hogo Hertha Wels 1
Parndorf 2
Wolfsberger AC 3
BW Linz 2
Wacker Innsbruck 3
SV Leithaprodersdorf 0
Tirol 4
Traiskirchen 0
Austria Vienna 6
Vorwarts Steyr 0
Hartberg 4
A. Salzburg 0
First Vienna 4
A. Klagenfurt 2
Rapid Vienna 5
Kitzbuhel 0
Grazer AK 2
Bischofshofen 0
Altach 7
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch 1
LASK Linz 6
Wallern/St Marienkirchen 1
Ried 5
Lafnitz 2
A. Lustenau 6
ASK Voitsberg 1
Sturm Graz 4
Floridsdorfer AC Wien 0
SW Bregenz 1
St. Polten 0
Salzburg 3
1/8-finals
Hogo Hertha Wels -
Wolfsberger AC -
Wacker Innsbruck -
Tirol -
Austria Vienna -
Hartberg -
First Vienna -
Rapid Vienna -
Grazer AK -
Altach -
LASK Linz -
Ried -
A. Lustenau -
Sturm Graz -
SW Bregenz -
Salzburg -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -