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Tillmitsch vs UFC Fehring

Austria Austria

Steiermark 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tillmitsch in this Steiermark 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tillmitsch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tillmitsch
6%
Draws
4%
UFC Fehring
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tillmitsch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tillmitsch lately — more wins on the board than UFC Fehring.
  • Win probability leans Tillmitsch's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Tillmitsch Clean Sheet 15%
UFC Fehring Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tillmitsch UFC Fehring
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 7
Draws 3 9
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Steiermark
Tillmitsch vs UFC Fehring
5:1
Sep 12, 2025 Steiermark
UFC Fehring vs Tillmitsch
0:2
Mar 7, 2025 Steiermark
UFC Fehring vs Tillmitsch
2:2
Aug 2, 2024 Steiermark
Tillmitsch vs UFC Fehring
3:1
May 10, 2024 Steiermark
Tillmitsch vs UFC Fehring
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tillmitsch 84 / 100
UFC Fehring 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tillmitsch UFC Fehring

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tillmitsch scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

UFC Fehring has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tillmitsch remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tillmitsch VS UFC Fehring
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%