Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2023

Mongolia U17

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the AFC Asian Cup U17 2023. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Timor-Leste U17 have averaged 1.22 scored and 3.11 conceded recently, against Mongolia U17's 0.44 scored and 3.56 conceded. Head-to-head, Timor-Leste U17 have won 0 to Mongolia U17's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 9, 2022, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Mongolia U17. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Timor-Leste U17

15%

Draws

42%

Mongolia U17

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Timor-Leste U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Timor-Leste U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Timor-Leste U17 a 36% chance of winning this.
Timor-Leste U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.4%

Timor-Leste U17 Clean Sheet 20%

Mongolia U17 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Timor-Leste U17	Mongolia U17
Matches Played	9	9
Wins	4	2
Draws	1	0
Losses	4	7
Goals Scored	1.22	0.44
Goals Conceded	3.11	3.56
Expected Goals (xG)	1.20	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U17

Timor-Leste U17 vs Mongolia U17

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Timor-Leste U17 36 / 100

Mongolia U17 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Timor-Leste U17 Mongolia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Timor-Leste U17 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (9 games).

Mongolia U17 has conceded goals in 78% of their last 9 outings.

Mongolia U17 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Timor-Leste U17 VS Mongolia U17

0.5 Goals Scored 0.25

3 Goals Conceded 2.63

63% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Timor-Leste U17

(Home)

30 Nov

Timor-Leste U17

2 : 1

Sri Lanka U17

28 Nov

Brunei U17

0 : 2

Timor-Leste U17

26 Nov

Timor-Leste U17

0 : 3

Bahrain U17

24 Nov

China U17

14 : 0

Timor-Leste U17

22 Nov

Bangladesh U17

5 : 0

Timor-Leste U17

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Mongolia U17

(Away)

30 Nov

Mongolia U17

2 : 6

Turkmenistan U17

26 Nov

Kuwait U17

5 : 0

Mongolia U17

24 Nov

Mongolia U17

0 : 4

Thailand U17

22 Nov

Maldives U17

0 : 1

Mongolia U17

27 Oct

Mongolia U17

1 : 0

Nepal U17

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